Friday, February 5, 2021

NFL PICKS WEEK 21 SB 55

#NFL #SuperBowl SPECIAL! 
EXPANDED HEAD TO HEAD PREVIEW! (55.5) Projected KC 31-27 (58) 
KC Big? Or Close? Like the tease....
 

 
 
 

Friday, January 22, 2021

WEEK 20 AFC / NFC CHAMPIONSHIP

NO OFFICIAL PICKS THIS WEEK.

3 TEAM PARLAY



 

 

 

HEAD TO HEAD


 

SEASON RECORD

We finished strong last week and learned a lesson the 3 weeks prior. Before I handicap the games each week I look at the schedule of games. I usually see a few I like and then cap them to confirm. Starting week 16 thru week 18 -  I seriously did not see a game I liked. I was tempted not to make any picks at all. I know you look for picks each week so I tried to find a few. 

After capping the games, stats showed a few promising picks each week. However, over the years I learned the best wagers are gut picks with stats to back them up. Had I laid off for 3 weeks, we would now have the #1 record with around 60%. 

Crazy COVID year, so I'm happy to finish second at 57% and most importantly I made you money +$1200. All's well that ends well as they say. 

Our Final Season record is below. I will post unofficial Picks through the Super Bowl for you. 

10 YEAR AVERAGE 64% (BEST IN THE WORLD)

FINAL SEASON RECORD

RECORD 57%

MONEY +$1200 

Here's How we compared this year to the other capper that charge for picks.



WEEK 19 (RECAP) 3-0!

3 TEAM PARLAY HITS!



Saturday, January 2, 2021

NFL PICKS WEEK 17

#NFL Week 17 Resting / Playing

Full Head to Head w/ Updated Injuries & Lines. 

(Playing & Resting Status for each team attached) 

CAUTION! READ INJURY REPORTS BEFORE BETTING!...

HEAD TO HEAD











PICKS



WEEK 16 (RECAP)

 Coming Soon

Thursday, December 17, 2020

NFL PICKS WEEK 15

#NFL Head to Head Preview All Games
@Saints Brees expected to Start.
No Brees = No Chance vs KC. Can he finish the game?
(Sat Injury updates not available)
 
PICKS

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 HEAD TO HEAD 


 
 
 
 

 

 

WEEK 14 (RECAP)

 Coming Soon

Saturday, December 12, 2020

Saturday, December 5, 2020

NFL PICKS WEEK 13

BANK PICKS


 

 

 

 

 

 

 


HEAD TO HEAD












JUST DECIDED TO GO FOR IT!....


 

 

Monday, November 30, 2020

WEEK 12 MNF

#NFL #MNF
@Seahawks (-6.5) At @Eagles (49.5)
Projected scoring likes Eagles, But, I think Run sets up Pass for SEA? Hawks 8-0 vs PHI last 8 and Covered 8 last 7 games. Most games were Under 40.
Adjusted Projected: SEA 20-14 (34)
 

 

Saturday, November 28, 2020

NFL PICKS WEEK 12

#NFL Week 12
Full Head to Head Preview and Picks!
All Games w/ Updated Injuries and Lines...
ADDED @Saints (-6) Golden Nugget Sat 6:15 pm
 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
FINAL PICKS
ADDED @Saints (-6) Golden Nugget Sat 6:15 pm 



 

Wednesday, November 25, 2020

WEEK 12 TDAY

So we have a reason to watch...

Hi Total Under, Low Total Over...


 



Parlay




WEEK 11 (RECAP)

As I mentioned, didn't like the match ups, Spent $50 less on a few parlays. On to Week 12!



Wednesday, November 18, 2020

NFL PICKS WEEK 11 #TNF #MNF

#NFL Picks Week 11 #TNF #MNF
I don't love this weeks match-ups. So, here are 3 I like.
@AZCardinals
@Vikings
@Buccaneers
Gonna spend less - $50 and Hit it or Quit it this week.
 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Final Picks 1 Last Parlay 

A few weeks ago we had 4 or 5 dependable teams. By week 11 its look like 1 or two - maybe? Lotta evenly matched teams & bad lines. I'm just spending less this week and breaking the rules with 2, 3 team parlays. Back to mostly singles next week.
 

 



















As I mentioned before. I don't like this weeks match ups. Parody is Epidemic. Spent less and threw a few parlays out there this week. Back to mostly single bets next week.
 
1st Parlay Kicked, But 2 Left - We'll See? 
 
ALL BETS
 

 


WEEK 10 (RECAP)

 Coming Soon...

Thursday, November 12, 2020

NFL PICKS WEEK 10

 BANK BETS


 






 

HEAD TO HEAD (UPDATED Sat Noon)


WEEK 10 TNF

#NFL  #TNF Head to Head Preview!

@Colts  (PK) at @Titans (48.5)   

This one is tricky! Stats love Colts & I Love Titans Stats IND 28-14 (42) Me TEN 27-24 (51) You Choose? I put $25 on TEN w/ Over
 

 

Wednesday, November 11, 2020

NFL PICKS WEEK 10 (Early Line Pick)

#NFL Early Line Pick Week 10 
 

 

WEEK 9 RECAP (WIN STORM)

The Plan

Some of us have been betting 3 teams parlays for years. We hit and have a great week, then lose it all back the next. Others spend $1000 to win $900 on their pick of the week. A lot of us just want to have money on the night games to have a reason to watch. One thing most of us have in common is a zero balance by the end of the season. I've beaten the spread for years, but I have not been the best at money management either. I wanted that to change this year.

The plan was to spend just $150 for the season, make 3 single bets at $50 each, go 2-1 or better each week and make a few thousand by the end of the year. 

                                      We started the bank in week 5. Balance ($150)

Week 5 - Trouble

We've only had 2 or 3 losing weeks in 8 years. Ironically, the year I roll out a new money management system - we go 1&2 week 5. Balance ($95)

Week 6 - Disaster

We added $55 to have $150 for 3 $50 bets week 6. Then I go 0-3. Ouch! Balance ($0) 

 

 

 

Other Peoples Money

Keep in mind, I bet my own money on this, more importantly, I have friends and followers that do the same. Losing money for myself is one thing, but when others trust my picks and lose their hard earned money - I don't sleep well at night. 

A friend of mine made me feel better. He told me he was just happy to be part of a strategy that can work and had lost less money this year than he did last year betting parlays. After all, if you bet a 3 team and lose one pick, you lose it all. 

Week 7 - Decision Time

After 2 losing weeks I'm thinking what now? Tell everyone to put in another $150? A long time Vegas bettor said "yeah", not a big deal, that's what you do, it gambling, you lose and start over. 

Before telling everyone to spend another $150 - I looked at the week 7 Thursday Night game and liked the Giants and the Under. I calculated that a 2 leg parlay on those for $41 would give us $150 for the week 7 bets. It Hit! The plan was 3 picks per week. I add one more pick and hit KC -7.5. Balance ($195).  On to week 4. 

Week 8 - Again?

Week 8 Balance $195. One thing that I hated was being forced to choose 3 picks. So I switched it up a little. I Stayed with the $150 and did 5 picks at $30. To be honest, although I felt good about the picks, there was a lot going on that week and I did not vet them as well as I should have. Result 1-4! Balance ($102)

Week 9 - Crunch Time!

The beauty of the system is that after investing just $246 (a lot of bettors spend that in a week) we survived my start to the season ever and still had $105 left in the bank for week 9. Yeah, the progressive bank works! I just need to hit more winners.

OK, we have $105 bucks. Its already week 9, we need to make some real money and don't have much left. 2 bad $50 picks and were broke again.  

The whole idea of the bank is to hit singles consistently and avoid parlay losses. However, I started to look at this like a boxing match. If you see an opening, throw the punch. If you're down points in the final round, throw knockout blows. The opening I saw was Packer and Ravens. A $50 2 leg parlay pays $187.

Win Storm!

It all started with a parlay bet Thursday night on Green Bay. By Sunday morning 6am I turn on European Golf Tour and hit a golf bet. Later that morning, the 2nd leg of the GB parlay hits and 2 more NFL picks win. 

At 3pm I remembered I had a PGA bet to watch on DVR.  OMG! Ortiz wins $400. 

Sunday night I hit nother 2 leg on Saints and Under. Monday Night I hit Jets and Over.
 

Thursday Night - $50 *Leg 1 Parlay Packers Win Easy.

Sunday Morning 6am - $6 Euro Golf Pick Wins Macintyre $156

Sunday Morning Games - *Leg 2 Parlay Ravens Win $187

Sunday Morning Games - $20 ea Vikings & Bills Win - $76

Sunday 3pm  - PGA $5 Golf Picks Wins Ortiz $400

Sunday Night Game - $23 2 Leg Parlay NOS & Under Wins - $90

Monday Night Game - $20 2 Leg Parlay NYJ & Over Wins - $71

Total Wins Week 9 - $980

Progressive Bank Wins - $425

8-3 for the week, minus 3 Losses - Bank Balance ($333)

That's right - we hit 3 - 2 Leg Parlays in a row.  Most of our picks will still be singles, but if I see an opening for a 2 team parlay - I'll take it. It's the 3 teamers that kill you.  

Ledger

Initial Stake - $150

Added - $96

Total Invested $246

Balance $333

Up $87

Bank is back up, we've made money on the year - up $87. The progressive bank strategy helped us survive a rough start long enough to turn it around and make a profit. On to week 10.

- Rick Jansen

Always Follow https://twitter.com/RickOnTheStrip for Live Bets and Last Minute Parlays.

BANK

Saturday, November 7, 2020

NFL PICKS WEEK 9 WEEKEND

#NFL  Head to Head Preview Week 8 w/ Updated Injuries and Lines
 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
BANK BETS