BANK UP!
RECORD UP!
We went 4-0 last week and 2-0 this week.
After 12 weeks:
Bank Up $72
Record 58%
Close 2nd to the Best Pros in the world
And We're Free!
This Week was Like Frogger!
The system really came in handy, calling us off some heavy favorites . I Listened to the system and bet the 2 games that made the most sense. Dodged a few others and made it across the street safe.
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Early Monday
Note:
I just called off the Monday Night game. Gonna take the money and run.
Eagles RB Mathews was just ruled (Out) and Sproles (Probable) is nursing sore ribs.
After
a closer look, The numbers for Wenz are down anyway. May still be a
decent bet with PHI at home, but why risk giving back money or wins.
On to Week 13!
System Picks
2 Team Parlay $50
Pit -8 @Colts
Projected PIT 27-13
NYG -7 @CLE
Projected NYG 27-6
CALLING OFF MONDAY NIGHT
PHI RB Mathews (Out) Sproles nursing sore ribs.
Wenz production is down anyway.
Rodgers Monday Night?
May still be a good pick but were off Side and Over!
Head to Head
All Games
We will post full player stats next week
Whew!
Last minute 4 team Parlay hits! "Were Baaack"
Someone very special needed help last week. Some things are more important than sports or gambling. So, I had to pick some teams last minute. I pulled some system data on a few games I liked and gave it my best shot.
As you know, our bank started at $500. I pointed out in week 1 - we could lose a bunch and just hit 1 - 3 team parlay in week 10, and fill the bank right back up. I played a few extra night games so we were down to $67 last week. That left just 2 - $33 bets for us, for the rest of the season. Talk about pressure. But, we hit a 4 teamer and put the bank back up to $397.
The 4 wins with no losses also bumped our Season Record up to 31-24 (56%). that is just a few points off the best Handicapping records in the World right now (60%).
We are currently 3rd vs the Pros (And we don't charge for picks).
SORRY FAMILY EMERGENCY - BACK TO NORMAL NEXT WEEK
4 team Parlay $33 Pays $330
Gut Picks:
@DAL -7 vs BAL
NE - 12 @ SF
@SEA - 6.5 VS PHI
BUF +2.5 @CIN
CIN-1 @NYG (47)
Projected CIN 26-23 (49)
Like CIN/Over
Bengals
Win Rush and Pass Offense by 8+. They should be very successful on Offense.
However, they are 1-3 on the Road vs NYG 3-1 @Home
Giants
Lose on Rush Offense, But Win Pass Offense Big +13.
However, they are without Cruz tonight and a starting left guard.
Side
With Cruz Out - I give the edge to CIN to cover 3.
Total
Both Teams Win Pass Offense Big, I like the OVER
Fantasy
CIN
Start Dalton, Start RBs and WRs
NYG
Sit RBs, Start Manning and WRs
Head to Head
HEAD TO HEAD PART 1
HEAD TO HEAD PART 2
@BAL -7.5 vs CLE (44)
Projected BAL 27-16 (43)
Ravens should Roll by 10. Should go Over?
BUF +7 @SEA (43.5)
Projected BUF 30-23 (53)
SEA
Have a Home Network Night Game
Hawks Lose on Offense. They win Turnovers by 1
DE Bennett and SS Chancellor are out.
BUF
Traveling Cross Country, But had time to adjust since it's a Monday Night Game.
Bills actually Win Rush (7) and Pass Offense (2). They win Big Rushing. Need to Run First to set up Pass. Let's hope they are smart enough to do that this time.
Most Offensive Starters (including McCoy & Bush) were Limited in Practice Sat, so, Probable Tonight.
They are missing some Receivers so they brought Percy Harvin out of Retirement. That should be fun to watch vs his old team. He could actually factor tonight.
Last time Bills needed to Run and they Passed. Result 3 & Outs and a loss. That will be the Key to tonights game, Along with the Bills Defense Forcing 3 & Outs off Wilson and a Poorly Coached SEA Offense. Bills Must Run First or Lose. Maybe, If McCoy really is ready to play they will. If not- they need to use the QB Option with whomever they have in the backfield. They had success with that, but ran it once and never made it a habit. They need to - with our without McCoy.
HEAD TO HEAD
Over is "Not" Qualified - Does Not count Toward Season Record
BUF +7 @SEA (43.5)
Projected BUF 30-23 (53)
SEA
Have a Home Network Night Game
Hawks Lose on Offense. They win Turnovers by 1
DE Bennett and SS Chancellor are out.
BUF
Traveling Cross Country, But had time to adjust since it's a Monday Night Game.
Bills actually Win Rush (7) and Pass Offense (2). They win Big Rushing. Need to Run First to set up Pass. Let's hope they are smart enough to do that this time.
Most Offensive Starters (including McCoy & Bush) were Limited in Practice Sat, so, Probable Tonight.
They are missing some Receivers so they brought Percy Harvin out of Retirement. That should be fun to watch vs his old team. He could actually factor tonight.
Last time Bills needed to Run and they Passed. Result 3 & Outs and a loss. That will be the Key to tonights game, Along with the Bills Defense Forcing 3 & Outs off Wilson and a Poorly Coached SEA Offense. Bills Must Run First or Lose. Maybe, If McCoy really is ready to play they will. If not- they need to use the QB Option with whomever they have in the backfield. They had success with that, but ran it once and never made it a habit. They need to - with our without McCoy.
HEAD TO HEAD
Over is "Not" Qualified - Does Not count Toward Season Record
Bank Bet
SnapShot
Head to Head (Part 1)
Head to Head (Part 2)
Note:
I posted a Rough Projected Score for ATL Thursday 27-20. The actual Head to Head Projected even closer 36-26 to Final Score 43-28. They Covered and it went Over. We Had ATL Covering Pregame - so counts toward record. Total was Under pregame, So Even though Head to Head was Over and I bet the Over, that does Not count toward record.
Parody = Lower Bar
Parody is so bad now days - I Qualify a Team if they Cover Spread by 4. Teams used to have to Win Rush Offense & Pass Offense by 4 or 5 Ranks, and Red Zone Offense (60%+) as well to Qualify. But, these days almost none do. This is NOT a High Bar! But as you can see above - Only ATL Qualified for both Head to Head and Spread this week. Pretty Pathetic.
Called Both Sides Last 2 TNF
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Pregame
ATL-4.5 @ TB (49.5)
Projected ATL 27-20
TB Loses big on Rush Offense. Could provide 3 and Outs for ATL and Tire out TB Defense. Ryan and Falcons could Run Up, But TB good PassD so its tricky. Like ATL by 7, But TB tends to play ATL well and are at home. So, they could keep it close and Total could go Over?
All Games Head to Head will be Posted by Saturday.
Capping Coaching?
No Flukes this week. Calling Tendencies perfectly. But Offensive coordinators making really bad calls. Verses Weak Pass Offense and Strong Rush Defense - Viking Run? Made Cutler Look Good.
Good News!
Hit Both Sides of the Thursday Night Game.
Did it Again This Week 2!
SnapShot
