NFL PICKS WEEK 17 2014

______POSTGAME______
 6-2 
OVERALL
4-2
FOR THE RECORD

 
______PREGAME______

SEVERAL PICKS LOOK GOOD THIS WEEK

VIEW MATCH UPS

(CLICK TO ENLARGE)

  SYSTEM PICKS

MY TOP 3

@ HOU -9.5 vs JAC
SYSTEM LIKES HOU
THEY DO NOT WIN PASS OFF BY MUCH AND GIVING 9.5
BUT I LIKE KEENUM TO PLAY BETTER
BAL WAS A TOUGH DEFENSE
 HE AND FOSTER SHOULD EXCELL
 VS MUCH WEAKER RUSH AND PASS DEF

@ KC-1 vs SD

@ DEN - 14 vs OAK 

OTHER SYSTEM PICKS

DAL -5.5 @ WAS

NO - 4 @ TB

CAR +3.5 @ ATL

OFF BUT LIKE 
@ MIN -6 vs CHI
SYSTEM LIKES MIN
BUT THEY LOSE THE OFF LINE MUP
AND DO NOT WIN PASS OFF
GIVING 6?
PHI +2.5 @ NYG


UPDATES ON
https://twitter.com/rickonthestrip
LONGSHOT OF THE YEAR

HOU TO WIN THE SUPERBOWL

$40 @ 450-1= $18,000

 YEAH IT'S NUTS.

JUST NEED TO BEAT JAC - (PROBABLE)

AND KC TO BEAT SD - (PROBABLE)

THE THE BIG ASK:

CLEVELAND TO BEAT BAL WITH A ROOKIE QB

ALL THAT TO JUST GET IN

BUT - IF CASE KEENUM PLAYS LIKE HE CAN WITH A WEEK UNDER HIS BELT

AND THE THEY GET REAALLLY LUCKY

THEY ARE AS GOOD AS ANY TEAM IN THE LEAGUE

WITH THE POSSIBLE EXCEPTION OF THE PATRIOTS
NO BALLS - NO BLUE CHIPS
DOESN'T TAKE ANY TO BET $40 OR $10 FOR THAT MATTER
AND YEAH - ONLY SLIGHTLY BETTER ODDS 
THAN THROWING CASH OUT YOUR CAR WINDOW.  
WHAT THE HECK - ONLY A FEW WEEKS LEFT - WHY NOT TAKE A SHOT. 

NFL PICKS WEEK 16 RECAP 2014

ANOTHER SOLID WEEK!

7-2 OVERALL

OFF - BUT LIKE

4-0  

 PANTHERS ALSO COVERED VS BROWNS

SYSTEM PICKS 3-2

 SYSTEM PICKS

GB -12 @ TB

GB COVERS

SEA - 8 @ ARI

SEA COVERS EASY 

MAINLY DUE TO LINDLEY 

AS PREDICTED

DET -7.5 @ CHI

DETROIT FAILS TO COVER ON THE CHI 20 YARD LINE

  IND + 3.5 @ DAL

COLTS CHOKE BIG TIME

RUMOR HAS IT LUCK IS A REAL JERK TO HIS PLAYERS

MAY BE A FACTOR IN THE PLAYOFFS

GAME OF THE WEEK!

@ HOU +5 vs BAL

 CASE KEENUM AND MY TEXANS PROVED ME RIGHT! 
THE HOU DEFENSE PLAYED HARD FOR HIM
HE WAS A LITTLE RUSTY BE GOT THEM THE WIN
BE FUN TO SEE IF HE CAN NEAR FULL SPEED THIS WEEK

YEAH.....THEY'RE MY TEAM AGAIN WITH CASE BACK

IF THEY BEAT JAC

AND

SD AND BAL LOSE - 

CASE KEENUM COULD COME FROM PRACTICE SQUAD AT RAMS

DEER HUNTING TWO WEEKENDS AGO

TO THE PLAYOFFS

CAN YOU EVEN IMAGINE?

 

X

THE BET BEFORE CHISTMAS

I Wrote this last year for all you football fans.
Have a Great Holiday Weekend!

NFL PICKS WEEK 16 MONDAY NIGHT

_____POSTGAME_____

THE REAL KEYS TO LAST NIGHTS GAME
ABERRATIONS
NO PRECICTING 5 PICKS BY MANNING.
HE AVERAGES .08 PER GAME
OR THE 29TH DEF LINE OF CIN PLAYING LIKE #1
THEY AVERAGE 1.3 SKS PER GAME - DEN ALLOWS 1.
CIN WAS IN HIS FACE ALL NIGHT
(SEE RED CIRCLES BELOW)
 MISSED KEY
I DID DISMISS A HUGE KEY TO THE GAME
I ADD OR SUBTRACT POINTS FROM A LIST OF MISMATCHES
I DISMISSED THE FIELD POSITION MISMATCH.
I DID GIVE CIN (+3) FOR PUNTING AND DEN (-3)
BUT CIN WON OFF AND DEF FIELD POSITON BIG
YOU SAW IT LAST NIGHT 
MANNING STARTING FROM INSIDE HIS OWN 20 ALL NIGHT.
(-3)  DEN (+3) CIN = CIN 26-21
WELL GIVE THAT STAT MORE ATTENTION THRU THE PLAYOFFS.
 (SEE PINK CIRCLES BELOW)

GLAD I CALLED OFF THAT ONE

 
_____PREGAME_____

DEN -3 @ CIN (48) 

OFF THIS ONE

VIEW GAME STRIP

AND

FULL HEAD TO HEAD MATCH UP 

(BELOW)

GAME STRIP 

(CLICK TO ENLARGE)

INJURY NOTES: 

DEN

 MANNING IS BACK TO NEAR 100%

 LB - MARSHALL - 113 TK (OUT)

WR SANDER (PROB - ILLNESS) 

CIN

 LB LAMUR 89 TK (OUT)

 COMPLETE HEAD TO HEAD 

SEE GAME NOTES FOR EACH TEAM 

CIN WEAK DEF LINE- MANNING SHOULD HAVE TIME
DENVER SHOULD PRESSURE DALTON
(CLICK TO ENLARGE)

NFL PICKS WEEK 16 2014

_______POSTGAME _______

WINNING!

OFF BUT LIKE 4-0!
(IN ORANGE BELOW ON GAME STRIP) 
 SD (WINNER!)
WAS (WINNER!)
MIN (WINNER!)
CAR (WINNER!)

TEXANS UPSET RAVENS!
WE CALLED IT!
 HOU 25-13

OBRIEN SO HAPPY HE COULD KISS HIM
THE KID WAS CAMPING LAST WEEKEND
PROBABLY HADN'T THROW A FOOTBALL IN A WEEK
FACED A TOUGH RUN DEFENSE AND DEF LINE
COULDN'T RUN - PRESSURE IN HIS FACE
AMAZING HE HELD UP.
MARK MY WORDS
HE WILL BE GREAT
 HOU DEFENSE FOUGHT FOR HIM AND STEPPED UP. 

GB AND HOU COVER
LIONS CHOKE ON CHI 20 YD LINE
COST ME A $600 PROFIT
 
GREAT WEEK
6-1 SO FAR!



_______PREGAME _______

LET THE GAMES BEGIN!

I LIKE THE PICKS THIS WEEK 

VIEW GAME STRIP

 SYSTEM PICKS

PICK OF THE WEEK!

DET -7.5 @ CHI

BEARS DEFENSE HURT - QB CLAUSAN IS BAD - WEAK CHI OFF LINE  

OTHER SYSTEM PICKS

GB -12 @ TB

BUCS DEFENSE HURTING. GB DOMINATES OFFENSIVE MUP

  IND + 3.5 @ DAL

RB MURRAY (?). IF HAND GETS HIT - HE'S OUT - ITS ON ROMO

SEA - 8 @ ARI

LINDLEY IN FOR STANTON (HE'S HORRIBLE) 

LOOK FOR 3 AND OUTS AND SEATTLE ROUTE

GAME OF THE WEEK!

@ HOU +5 vs BAL

CASE KEENUM STARTS FOR TEXANS!

 AFTER TURNING THE TEXANS AROUND LAST YEAR

HE WAS CUT BY KUBIAK AS A SCAPEGOAT
THE REAL PROBLEM WAS A WEAK OFF LINE. 

HEEEEEE'S BAAAAACK

HOU IS A SOLID TEAM - KEENUM CAN LEAD THEM

I LIKE WATT AND CUSHING TO PRESSURE FLACCO.
KEENUM DOES NOT TAKE SACKS
HE GETS RID OF IT
HE TAKES WHAT THE DEFENSE GIVES HIM
HE DOES NOT MAKE ROOKIE MISTAKES MARK MY WORDS!
HE WILL BE A PREMIER QB IN THIS LEAGUE
MIGHT EVEN WIN TODAY VS A TOUGH BAL TEAM  

NFL PICKS WEK 16 SATURDAY

_______POSTGAME______

NICE TO BE LUCKY ONCE IN A WHILE
 MOST OF THE NIGHT GAMES ARE NOT QUALIFIED PICKS
SO JUST TAKING A STAB AT THEM USUALLY
 WE'VE BEEN REALLY GOOD THIS YEAR. BUT NOT LUCKY

TONIGHT WE WERE. 

WAS
SKINS PLAYED WITH REAL HEART. 
THEY WERE OUTMATCHED AND TOUGHED IT OUT
IN SPITE OF HAVING THE WORST COACH IN THE NFL. 
THE REAL DIFFERENCE WAS HUGE PHI PENALTIES
 AND MISSED CHIP SHOT FGs. 

SD
RIVERS BLEW THE FIRST HALF
GREAT CATHES BY THE SD RECEIVERS KEPT THEM IN IT.
EXPECTED THE LAST FEW WHEELS TO FALL OFF SF.
LOOKED LIKE IT MIGHT NOT HAPPEN
IT DID AT THE END.


MIN
JUST NEED TEDDY TO COVER 6 AND MAKE IT 3-0 

THESE ARE ALL (OFF BUT LIKE PICKS)
SEE POST ABOVE AND GAME STRIP

_______PREGAME______

NO SATURDAY GAMES QUALIFIED AS PICKS

VIEW GAME STRIPS

(CLICK TO ENLARGE)

  

 PHI-8 @WAS (50.5)

(OFF)

  PROJECTED

PHI-24-17 (41) 

(CLICK TO ENLARGE)

EAGLES ARE GOOD WITH A LEAD

SANCHEZ DOES NOT COME FROM BEHIND WELL

IF SKINS CAN SCORE EARLY - THEY HAVE A SHOT

IF PHI GETS A 10 POINT LEAD
THEY CAN RUN AND KEEP IT

THEY COULD ROUTE WAS

PHI

PHI IS A MUCH BETTER TEAM

THEY WIN PASS OFF ENUF TO COVER 8

PHI DEF LINE ALSO DOMINATES

THEY COULD BLOW OUT THE SKINS

OR STUMBLE IF RG3 GETS HOT

  WAS

STRONG DEF LINE AND RUSH DEF

WEAK RED ZONE OFF

BUT - PHI ALLOWS 83% IN RED ZONE

THEY DO HAVE A GREAT PUNTER

RG3 PLAYING TO PROVE GRUDEN WRONG

IF HE GETS A FEW BREAKS - WAS COULD COVER?

 TOTAL 

OVER FACTORED AT 50.5

UNDER IS TEMPTING?

BUT IF RG3 PLAYS WELL - COULD GO OVER 

LAST MEETING

OVER - PHI 37-34 (71)

(OFF) 

SF-1.5 @SD (41)

(OFF)

 PROJECTED

SD-16-13 (29)

(CLICK TO ENLARGE)

 SF

WRs  CRABTREE AND STEVIE JOHNSON (DNP) 

ON DEFENSE - DT / LOLB / LILB / RILB (DNP)

SD DEF LINE AND PASS DEF IS WEAK

SO IS THE SF RUN GAME AND PASS OFF

SF PROJECTED AT ONLY 39% IN RED ZONE

  SD

WR- ALLEN (OUT) / RB MATHEWS (DOUBT)

THEY WIN THE RUSH DEF

ALSO HAVE BETTER PASS OFFENSE

 LEANING TOWARD SD 

  TOTAL 

UNDER FACTORED AT (41)

BUT OFFENSIVE STARTERS OUT ON BOTH SIDES

LEANING TOWARD UNDER

(OFF)  

GOOD LUCK!

NFL PICKS WEEK 16 THURSDAY 2014

_______POSTGAME_______

OUCH!
A BAD PI CALL TO PROLONGED JAGS FINAL DRIVE
THEN - IF HE DOESN'T STEP BACKWARDS

WHITEHURST PROBABLY WINS IT FOR TITANS
OR AT LEAST GETS 6
EVEN WITHOUT A 2 PT CONVERSION
THAT WOULD HAVE MADE THE FINAL
JAGS 21-19 (40) 
TITANS +3.5 AND OVER (39)

FINAL
JAGS 19-13

AS PREDICTED
JAGS - CAN GET SACKS
BOTH TEAMS SCORED BETTER THAN USUAL
WHITEHURST PLAYED GREAT.
JUST NOT ENOUGH
WORST GAME OF THE WEEK
LOOKING FORWARD TO THE WEEKEND
 
SATURDAY GAMES WILL BE UP BY TOMORROW NOON


_______PREGAME_______

@JAC -3.5 vs TEN (39)

PROJECTED
JAC 23-10 

GAME STRIP

 FULL MATCH UP

____THE PICK____

BOTH TEAMS EQUALLY BAD

REALLY IS A TOSS UP

 
JAC
 JAGS WIN DEF LINE - CAN GET HOT WITH SACKS

TEN 0 TDS IN RED ZONE LAST 3 GAMES
TEN LOUSY FG KICKER - 75%
 
TEN
JAC DT AND FS (DNP) 
TEN WINS PASS DEFENSE

I DO LIKE WHITEHURST
JAGS ALLOWING 78% IN RED ZONE
GETTING 3.5

BEST GUESS?

 TAKE THE POINTS?

 ?

TEN +3.5 

 ____TOTAL____

UNDER IS ALREADY FACTORED

UNDER

LAST MEETING TEN 16-14 (30)

BOTH BAD RED ZONE AND PASS OFFENSE
BOTH TEAMS AVG LESS THAN 3 RED ZONE TRIPS PER GAME
TEN LOUSY FG KICKER - 75%

BOTH TEAMS GREAT PUNTERS = UNDER? 

 OVER
BOTH TEAMS WILL PLAY HARD ON NETWORK NIGHT GAME
BOTH DEFENSES EQUALLY BAD
WHITEHURST GOOD QB

JAC -8 / TEN -9  TURN OVERS = POINTS?
NIGHT GAMES HAVE BEEN GOING OVER?
 

 ?

OVER?  

NFL WEEK 15 RECAP 2014

WINNING!

PARLAY OF THE WEEK

4-2

Season 60%

The System is Giving us all the Keys

We just have to Look for Strengths and Weaknesses

(CLICK TO ENLARGE) 

NOTE: ONLY (3) OUT OF 16 GAMES WENT (OVER)

THE RUN DOWN- SUPERBOWL PICK

With 5 minutes left in the game - Seattle had 2 chances to run out the clock. They gave the ball back to SF twice. Luckily the Line Dropped to 9.5 and they covered. 

Philadelphia can Run the ball and score on the ground - But can Not come from behind in the Air with Sanchez. 

Denver got by Sand Diego. 2nd Best Team in the NFL.

Green Bay showed its Weakness vs a Solid Defense on the Road. 3rd Best.

Only 1 team in the NFL has a Fast Strike Pass Offense and the ability to run the ball down your throat. Patriots. For that reason (Baring any Belichick Brainfarts) - they

will win the Superbowl.

WEEK 15 MONDAY NIGHT 2014

NO -3 @ CHI (54)

THIS GAME DOES NOT QUALIFY AS A PICK

VERY RISKY PICK

DON'T BET THE FARM

I LIKE CHI +3

UNDER (54)

BEARS

THIS IS THE LAST HURRAH FOR THE BEARS AT HOME - PRIME-TIME

THE SAINTS DEFENSE IS NEAR LAST IN EVERY CATEGORY

FORTE SHOULD RUN ON THEM

SAINTS PASS DEF IS 31ST

NEW ORLEANS - BAD ON THE ROAD

DOME TEAM IN THE COLD

BEARS PROTECTED AT 67% IN THE RED ZONE

 SAINTS

SAINTS PROJECTED 60% IN THE RED ZONE
BEAR PASS DEFENSE HORRIBLE
BEARS HAVE A BAD PUNTER 
SAINTS TOP 10 PASS OFFENSE  

 AGAIN - THIS IS A RISKY PICK.

PROJECTED

28-24 BEARS (52)

TOTAL

BOTH TEAMS WIN PASS OFFENSE

BOTH WIN OFFENSIVE DRIVE MATCHUPS.

SO THIS COULD EASILY GO OVER. 

THE OVER IS FACTORED AT 54

BOTH PROJECTED GOOD IN RED ZONE 

WITH SAINTS BAD ON THE ROAD OUT OF THE DOME
BOTH TEAMS HAVE HORRIBLE FG KICKERS

TAKING A WILD GUESS WITH THE UNDER

VIEW FULL MATCHUP

(CLICK TO ENLARGE)

NFL PICKS WEEK 15 2014

________POSTGAME________

WINNING!

PARLAY OF THE WEEK

UPSET OF THE WEEK

 @BUF +4.5 vs GB

 

________PREGAME________

I LIKE THIS WEEKS PICKS

I THINK THE HERD IS THINNING

TAKING THE FAVORITES

PARLAY OF THE WEEK

 @NE -7.5 vs SD

DEN - 4 @ SD

@SEA -9.5 vs SF
 

POTENTIAL UPSET

 @BUF +4.5 vs GB

BUF WINS DEF LINE AND PASS DEF

GB LOSES DEF LINE AND RUSH DEF
GB DEFENSE 28TH / BAD DEF DRIVE STATS

BUF RUSH OFF IS WEAK TOO. 
BILLS PROJECTED AT 77% IN THE RED ZONE

NOT A SYSTEM PICK
 BUT BUF PROJECTED TO COVER


VIEW MATCHUPS

NEW THIS WEEK!

INJURY NOTES ADDED / QB STATS ADDED

 (CLICK TO ENLARGE)

 SYSTEM BLOWOUTS PREDICTED

 @BAL -13.5 OVER JAC

LOTTA POINTS - BAL DOES NOT DOMINATE ON PASS OFFENSE?

BUT 3 AND OUTS BY JAC & RAVENS COVER

@NE -7.5 vs SD

PATS CAN RUN ON WEAK MIA DEFENSE

IF BELICHICK DOES NOT ABANDON RUN - EASY WIN

DEN -4 @ SD

TE JULIUS THOMAS BACK FOR DENVER
MANNING MISSED HIM - SHOULD BE A BOOST

OTHER SYSTEM PICKS

@CAR -3 vs TB

CAR QB ANDERSON HAS GREAT STATS
RIVERA IS AN IDIOT THOUGH?

 I DO LIKE MCCOWN TOO - LITTLE DICEY?

@PHI -3.5 vs DAL 

DAL DEF NEAR LAST  - DL, RD AND PASS DEF

 

 SYSTEM OVER / UNDERS

 PIT / ATL OVER (55.5)

OVER FACTORED - BUT SYSTEMS HAS IT AT (66)
ALL OVER FLAGS ARE BLUE

VIEW MATCHUP CHART ABOVE

FOR ALL GAMES

GOOD LUCK!