Wednesday, December 3, 2014

WEEK 13 RECAP

NO PERFECT SYSTEM
I've always said - there is no perfect system in any type of gaming. I took a hard look at all the data from last week. What are we doing wrong? Nothing! You can't handicap Belichick to not try and win vs GB, or for the Bengals to kick a failed Onside kick with a 4 point lead. Two other teams gave away sizable leads. There's 4 losses right there.

PAYING FOR PICKS?
The average Professional Handicapper that charges for picks - is about 45% this year. So, even though this is our worst year ever - we are still way ahead of the game. Our 5 year average is still OVER 70%, 269-113 To Date. 

PLAYING THE ODDS
If you pick 5 number on Roulette - stick with those 5. One of them will hit eventually. You pull off one of those numbers and it will hit. This is no time to change the system.  We have to stick with what works. The system is more fine tuned than ever. Just watch - the herd will thin over the last 4 weeks and we will win.

WE'LL TELL YOU WHO SHOULD WIN
YOU DECIDE WHO WILL
The purpose of the site, has always been to give you the most comprehensive data for every game each week. We win at that every week. Use it! You're gonna have bad weeks. Most years we have 5 or 10 solid teams you cant count on to cover. This year there are 3 - Kinda? Green Bay, New England and Denver. However, those 3 have fallen short too. the Broncos just lost to "Oakland". We will tell you who wins the statistical Matchup between the Seahawks and Eagles. You have to decide if Sanchez chokes or not.

NEW! DRIVE STATS
This is a great new stat. Whichever team has the most successful drives - will win the game. Knowing if both teams will have a lot of successful drives can help you pic the Over. Look at the Steeler vs Saints Over in the Game Strip (Below). Both teams had HIgh Drive Success projections and Both won the Pass Offense Matchup = Over. 

Parody is so bad right now - Not a single game featured a team that won both sides of the (Drive Success) Matchup. Notice none are GREEN-GREEN or BROWN-BROWN.  Keep an eye on that column this week for a Drive Success Mismatch.
(CLICK TO ENLARGE)

GOOD LUCK THIS WEEK!




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