Saturday, February 3, 2018

NFL PICKS WEEK 21 SUPERBOWL

I said at the beginning of the playoffs that parody is so bad - taking the points could be a good strategy. Dogs went 9-1 in the Playoffs. The system likes the dog again this week (below). 

Pats
Lose the Rushing Match Up vs PHI, but Win Pass Offense and Red Zone Offense Big in this Match Up. That has been enough for them to win most games. I have noticed a departure from the quick, short pass game in New England. This leaves Brady in the pocket too long - waiting for plays to develop. He does not like pressure and PHI had 2 Pics vs MIN. PHI has a weak Pass Defense and Red Zone Defense. If Pats stick to the short pass game they should win and cover. 

PHI 
Has a Run game with Blunt and Ajai that "can" keep Brady off the field. They also win Rush and Pass Offense and have a Rush Defense that can shut down the NE run game. The Key for them will be long sustained drives and to jam receivers off the line to stop the short pass game and pressure Brady. The PHI Pass Defense will need to step up to win this one.
They allowed 271 yds passing vs MIN and the Pats Win the Red Zone Match Up on Offense.

Summary
The System likes PHI to win outright - it is more consistent than I am. The Pats winning Pass and Red Zone Offense Big is enough for me to stay off this one and Finish with the Bank up for all of us and a great record for the year (5th in the world 57%). I hope its a great game and would love to see Brady lose one to the Eagles and ruin Trumps Sunday. I do Like the Over.

HEAD TO HEAD

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