#NFL #MNF
@Seahawks (-6.5) At @Eagles (49.5)
Projected scoring likes Eagles, But, I think Run sets up Pass for SEA? Hawks 8-0 vs PHI last 8 and Covered 8 last 7 games. Most games were Under 40.
Adjusted Projected: SEA 20-14 (34)
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Monday, November 30, 2020
Saturday, November 28, 2020
NFL PICKS WEEK 12
#NFL Week 12
Full Head to Head Preview and Picks!
All Games w/ Updated Injuries and Lines...
ADDED @Saints (-6) Golden Nugget Sat 6:15 pm
FINAL PICKS
ADDED @Saints (-6) Golden Nugget Sat 6:15 pm
Wednesday, November 25, 2020
WEEK 11 (RECAP)
As I mentioned, didn't like the match ups, Spent $50 less on a few parlays. On to Week 12!
Wednesday, November 18, 2020
NFL PICKS WEEK 11 #TNF #MNF
#NFL Picks Week 11 #TNF #MNF
I don't love this weeks match-ups. So, here are 3 I like.
@AZCardinals
@Vikings
@Buccaneers
Gonna spend less - $50 and Hit it or Quit it this week.
Final Picks 1 Last Parlay
A few weeks ago we had 4 or 5 dependable teams. By week 11 its look like 1 or two - maybe? Lotta evenly matched teams & bad lines. I'm just spending less this week and breaking the rules with 2, 3 team parlays. Back to mostly singles next week.
As I mentioned before. I don't like this weeks match ups. Parody is Epidemic. Spent less and threw a few parlays out there this week. Back to mostly single bets next week.
1st Parlay Kicked, But 2 Left - We'll See?
ALL BETS
Thursday, November 12, 2020
Wednesday, November 11, 2020
WEEK 9 RECAP (WIN STORM)
The Plan
Some of us have been betting 3 teams parlays for years. We hit and have a great week, then lose it all back the next. Others spend $1000 to win $900 on their pick of the week. A lot of us just want to have money on the night games to have a reason to watch. One thing most of us have in common is a zero balance by the end of the season. I've beaten the spread for years, but I have not been the best at money management either. I wanted that to change this year.
The plan was to spend just $150 for the season, make 3 single bets at $50 each, go 2-1 or better each week and make a few thousand by the end of the year.
We started the bank in week 5. Balance ($150)
Week 5 - Trouble
We've
only had 2 or 3 losing weeks in 8 years. Ironically, the year I roll
out a new money management system - we go 1&2 week 5. Balance ($95)
Week 6 - Disaster
We added $55 to have $150 for 3 $50 bets week 6. Then I go 0-3. Ouch! Balance ($0)
Other Peoples Money
Keep in mind, I bet my own money on this, more importantly, I have friends and followers that do the same. Losing money for myself is one thing, but when others trust my picks and lose their hard earned money - I don't sleep well at night.
A friend of mine made me feel better. He told me he was just happy to be part of a strategy that can work and had lost less money this year than he did last year betting parlays. After all, if you bet a 3 team and lose one pick, you lose it all.
Week 7 - Decision Time
After 2 losing weeks I'm thinking what now? Tell everyone to put in another $150? A long time Vegas bettor said "yeah", not a big deal, that's what you do, it gambling, you lose and start over.
Before telling everyone to spend another $150 - I looked at the week 7 Thursday Night game and liked the Giants and the Under. I calculated that a 2 leg parlay on those for $41 would give us $150 for the week 7 bets. It Hit! The plan was 3 picks per week. I add one more pick and hit KC -7.5. Balance ($195). On to week 4.
Week 8 - Again?
Week 8 Balance $195. One thing that I hated was being forced to choose 3 picks. So I switched it up a little. I Stayed with the $150 and did 5 picks at $30. To be honest, although I felt good about the picks, there was a lot going on that week and I did not vet them as well as I should have. Result 1-4! Balance ($102)
Week 9 - Crunch Time!
The beauty of the system is that after investing just $246 (a lot of bettors spend that in a week) we survived my start to the season ever and still had $105 left in the bank for week 9. Yeah, the progressive bank works! I just need to hit more winners.
OK, we have $105 bucks. Its already week 9, we need to make some real money and don't have much left. 2 bad $50 picks and were broke again.
The whole idea of the bank is to hit singles consistently and avoid parlay losses. However, I started to look at this like a boxing match. If you see an opening, throw the punch. If you're down points in the final round, throw knockout blows. The opening I saw was Packer and Ravens. A $50 2 leg parlay pays $187.
Win Storm!
It all started with a parlay bet Thursday night on Green Bay. By Sunday morning 6am I turn on European Golf Tour and hit a golf bet. Later that morning, the 2nd leg of the GB parlay hits and 2 more NFL picks win.
At 3pm I remembered I had a PGA bet to watch on DVR. OMG! Ortiz wins $400.
Sunday night I hit nother 2 leg on Saints and Under. Monday Night I hit Jets and Over.
Thursday Night - $50 *Leg 1 Parlay Packers Win Easy.
Sunday Morning 6am - $6 Euro Golf Pick Wins Macintyre $156
Sunday Morning Games - *Leg 2 Parlay Ravens Win $187
Sunday Morning Games - $20 ea Vikings & Bills Win - $76
Sunday 3pm - PGA $5 Golf Picks Wins Ortiz $400
Sunday Night Game - $23 2 Leg Parlay NOS & Under Wins - $90
Monday Night Game - $20 2 Leg Parlay NYJ & Over Wins - $71
Total Wins Week 9 - $980
Progressive Bank Wins - $425
8-3 for the week, minus 3 Losses - Bank Balance ($333)
That's right - we hit 3 - 2 Leg Parlays in a row. Most of our picks will still be singles, but if I see an opening for a 2 team parlay - I'll take it. It's the 3 teamers that kill you.
Ledger
Initial Stake - $150
Added - $96
Total Invested $246
Balance $333
Up $87
Bank is back up, we've made money on the year - up $87. The progressive bank strategy helped us survive a rough start long enough to turn it around and make a profit. On to week 10.
- Rick Jansen
Always Follow https://twitter.com/RickOnTheStrip for Live Bets and Last Minute Parlays.
BANK
Saturday, November 7, 2020
Thursday, November 5, 2020
NFL PICKS WEEK 9 TNF
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