THIS WEEK LOOKS LIKE MONEY!
I have not felt really good about the Matchups for a few weeks. I really like this weeks games and agree with all the System Picks. Top 4 in Green.
SYSTEM PICKS
DET -2.5 @ PIT (Ajusted Rank +29 DET. #1 OLINE VS 29TH DLINE PIT. 7TH RO VS 31ST RD
& #3 PO VS 16TH PD. Big Day Bush and Johnson. DET Projected 60% RZO vs PIT.)
HOU -7 (HM) VS OAK (OAK-Pryor Leading Passer and Rusher - OUT!)
ARI - 6.5 @ JAC (ARI SOS good - adjusted rank +11 so Qualifies for -7 or more. Playing JAC - won MUP (62). Projected Score 30-19. Like ARI by 14.)
SEA -13 (HM) VS MIN (#2 SEA PASS DEF CONTAINS 25TH PO OF MIN. 9th Rush Def contains Peterson. 32ND PASS DEF AND 24TH RUSH DEF
SHOULD ALLOW BIG DAY FOR WILSON AND LYNCH @HOME. T/O +11 SEA )
GB +5.5 @ NYG (INJURY OFF)
RICK PICKS
CAR-2.5 @ NE
UNDER (41) BUF / JETS
OVER (52.5) PHI / WAS
LEANING
IND -3 @ TEN
ATL - 1.5 @ TB
UNDER (46.5) CHI /BAL
CLE +6 @ CIN & UNDER (42) CIN / CLE
SF + 3 @ NO
KC +8 @ DEN & UNDER DEN / KC
(Like KC - but don't love them. Manning may be Sore and KC best Pass
Rush in League. But -DEN Adjusted Rank + 17 over KC. Alex Smith still hasn't
Scored TD in Red Zone in 6 weeks. That will have to change Fast vs Tough
DEN Def for KC to keep up with Manning. DEN did only win one Category (Field Pos) by 10 or More -so like the +8 a little?
UNDER (46) CAR / NE
VIEW MATCHUPS!
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52 comments:
i really like the system picks this week to. as for tonight games. i do like ind + over. on paper i learning as an under but my gut feeling pick tell me the over
the trend of over of non-divison matchs has been perfect the last 3wks (11-0 over)
Detroit at Pittsburgh
Baltimore at Chicago
Arizona at Jacksonville
New England at Carolina
let make some money this week
I have mixed feelings on tonights game. Ten could even win it. and could go over or under. Colts + Over or Ten + Under.
My favorites of the week are posted in green on this latest post. Doing 4 teamer with them:
DET / HOU / ARI / SEA - Check the Matchups - see what you think?
All trend favor ind so ind is my main pick for tonight, and ind + ov ind + mar + over mar 50 to win 600,
I play 100 on ind, just hope it will cover the parlay if it lost
I do not like tonight's game - 50/50 either way. just bet my top 4 to replace my early line bet. damn - titans just scored - lotta game left - lets hop colts redeem themslves - good luck - rooting colts too.
no more early line bets for me - I'll post anything that looks good - but not batting till I do system - totally changed my mind on this game after did matchup. Posted on Blog.
IND Great Red Zone Offense vs Weak Red Zone Def TEN. Just kicked FG - really?
If the trend still hold, the 1hf dog and 2hf favor, mar and mar over look good, just hope ind can grind it out and I can hit the parlay,
The system picks this week look good, hope can can rebound from last week and we will make some money
luck missed Reggie Wayne big time, look like a different team,
I still go 2hf ind -4,5 + over 21. 25 buck parlay
Thank you for rooting the colt, they need 3td to make me some money
Tonight's game - again - Strength of Schedule?
Adjusted Rank -IND 22 / TEN 21
Luck bad footwork end of half drive. in shotgun 3 step not 4 and a half or whatever that was. (RZO) Red Zone Offense stats going way down after tonight. Just Need 1 more TD or FG to seal it.
Go Colts!
I have IND -3 on 4 team parlay w/ DET / ARI / KC (not sure about KC either) But cold (30) - light snow and Manning sore ankle. Feel good about ARI and Det.
Donald Brown should start over Richardson.
Brown could run clock down right now and score.
Brown baby! TD!
So it a push for you. I buy haft point online so I win on ind.
You got ari at -6,5, but now it -8 , I won't take ari with over a td, det, kc look good,
Check out the over play on non division games, it been crazy hot the last 3wks
CONGRATS ON WIN! Gut Feeling Right on Over too. Thanks for Tip on Div Overs.
ARI SOS good - adjusted rank +11 so Qualifies for -7 or more. Playing JAC - won MUP (62). Projected Score 30-19. Like ARI by 14.
Like KC - but don't love them. Manning may be Sore and KC Rush best Pass Rush. But -DEN Adjusted Rank + 17 over KC. Alex Smith still hasn't Scored TD in Red Zone in 6 weeks. That will have to change Fast vs Tuff DEN Def for KC to keep up with Manning.
l Feel very Strong about:
DET / HOU / ARI / SEA
Check my Latest Blog Update to see why I like those 4.
with pryor out. hous is a solid pick. love it.
ari look good, but i stay off if they lay over a td. (there is 2 trend go against ari.)
det look good. (my team. go lions)
one of the trend that been hot this year is go with team of 21% OR LESS (Consensus pick) ari at 75%, det 80% and sd 80%. will check back b4 game time on sunday
Sorry - wrote response last night - but really late and didn't want to wake you - since you are on east Coast.
Pryor is Leading Passer and Rusher and Kubiak will call plays from Press Box. So yeah, love it too.
Line nearing 10 - got it at -7.
Surprised DET Line didn't go to 7.
Go Lions! Wanna see Rapistberger face down most of game.
Think SEA will Manhandle MIN @Home.
9th Ranked Rush Def should handle Peterson and Vikings have no Defense.
Anything can happen - But let's hope this is not another weird week and the stats prove true.
Good Luck!
Morning Games starting out "Weird" Seem to be unweirding though. LOL
Yeah, my lion look scary, but they should be ok
Ari -9, and hou -10, you got them at -7, wow
The over run on no division gm again, det and ari,
The Rookie QB for OAK playing too well. They cam back niuce but Def just allowed another TD. We need to run it down their throats. Need JJ Watt to crush the Rookie.
AZ and DET came back so far.
OAK is #8 Rush OFF - but HOU Def looks pathetic. Too much pressure for Keenum to score and taking away run game. Hope the kid can pull it off. Lot to ask.
I'm done with HOU. Putting in Schaub - are you kidding? Keenum just had no protection. Has Kubiak's stoke given him brain damage. Idiot move
Dang it, lion still an lion, my team suck
80% pick det, I usually go against team with 80+% , but I broke my own rule and paid for it
I ate to much chicken, that y I stay out on ari, and they win, Love cin but pass on them as I already picks to many teams
80% pick on sd too, go Mia?..
Hou need new coach , period
Atl and hou are the teams to go against this year
Schwartz should be fired. FG puts Lions in charge - up by 7. fake FG fumble was beginning of the end.
HOU put in Schuab to make FGs. Cant handicap stupid. actually I can - off both those teams.
BAL
cIN
HOU
Det
All offfff!
Buff 37 on jets DF, what wrong with the jets DF today
I feel your pain, stupid call on det coaching staff, lion lion lion.
Maybe the 4 off teams should be considered moneyline prospects in future. In the right situation
Well, with det they w and L and w, pattern , so I take them next week again, hou and atl are 2team I will fade,( been success)
Wow that over run on non division again, with chi over, that 3-0 today and last gm is ne-car tomorrow
I don't have a lot of gm knowledge and the system robot pick that you create, so all of my picks is follow the trends, and sometime it just gut feeling,
Ever since I found your site and. Follow your picks, I do a lots of better on my bankroll,
Thank you again
Both sd and det got 80% picked, both loss SU, you don't see 80% a lot, but it got 64% ats this year (go against those team)
I love kc and the under tonight
9 min left 2nd qrr. Like I said in blog. KC trouble keeping up with DEN. I should have figured easy equation. 2 good Defenses - 1 good Offense - easy win DEN. Not over yet - hope you win. Thanks for praise - sorry another hard week. SEA and AZ Easy Money. DET had them - should have won. HOU crazy pulling Keenum for bum Schaub. Good luck I want you to increase your bankroll. Good games at least - SF / CHI / this one and tomorrow night CAR/NE. Brady hates be3ing hit - think Panthers ruin his night.
KC +7.5 may be the key for you though, Gotta score in red zone though - to keep up with Manning.
Still confident that kc can keep it close, I go with kc +un 2nd hf, win all or lose all, I am all in.
I take the over ne-car (non division ) tomorrow, and if the game go over I really think ne will get an W,
Car is red hot right now, but I hate to fade ne and Tom Bradley , car got big win in SF, time for let down???
Loss gm kc+un, win 2hf kc +3,5 + un.
Brady is having worst season of his life. He really hates being hit and pressured. He will get both this week @ CAR. Both teams have good Pass Def and avg Pass Off. Both Good Rush Off. CAR weaker Rush Off. I don't trust Newton or Rivera either - I think smart bet is just the Under.
Sorry rough week - some of the Rick Picks were under System. I fixed it. went 2-2. But want better than that. Hope this week is easier. Hardest season in 3 years so far. I bet Sportsbooks are making a fortune.
GOT IT BACKWARDS:
ACTUALLY - NE has the weaker Rush Def at 20th vs 4th Rush Def CAR. NE has 6th Rush Off - But CAR #1 Rush Def. Have to lean toward CAR at HM and the Under
car is red hot the last 5gms. but i been follow the over of afc-nfc matchups and it been 14-0 the last 3wks. today is another afc-nfc game so i have to go with the over tonight. however it does look good as an under on paper,
since i go with the over then i have to take ne and the point. (plus the hook at +3,5, extra vig of course)
sports betting is win and loss, we cant expect of winning every week. it a little rough the last 2 wks, mostly due to some stupid play calling of the coaching staff (radios stations here in michigan talk a lot about the lions go for the fake punt, that play call is just stupid}
we thanks you for the all the picks and all your hard work Rick. don feel bad, it just the nature of the betting games.
i am sure you and the system will rebound
enjoy the game tonight (we got power outages here. no tv for me tonight)
Thanks Calvin - that's a good friend who is there in good times and bad. If not for you I would have probably have stopped a while ago.
Good Luck tonight and like you say - New Week next week - we'll get em!
WOW! What a Finish! Brady damn near got you the win and the over. I got my money back for the week. $50 Car -3 Under 47 - $180.
congrat on the win. i did make some money this week to, as i hit on the over of the afc-nfc mup. amd yeah it was a good game. i didnt watch the game until today. (stil no power here. ) let keep rolling this week.
I'm sorry, I meant to ask if storm hit where you are. Hope you and your family are OK. How bad is it?
Hey, gonna post about the Thursday Night Game. I ran last weeks stats - to look at it early. Like Saints Big @ ATL -8 and the OVER! Gonna bet before it goes to 10. Saints Strength of Sched weak vs ATL - but the Pass Off, Rush Off and Off Line Matchup is heavy Saints.
Lets continue Thread on latest post.
Check out the Thursday Night Post. The updated Matchup is Live. NO won MUP by (136). 41-20. The new format is way cleaner. Hope you like it. Think I finally got it right this time?
(Hey Calvin) You and your Family doing OK out there? Let us know - we care about you - as a member of our Football Family.
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