PGA Sony Open - Picks and Play by Play on "Golf Picks" Link Above.
Walker Wins!
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SEASON TOTAL 69-33 68%
CURRENT NFL PLAYOFF RECORD 2013 7-2 77%
Divisional 4-2 67%
Unders: 2-0 100%
Sides: 2-2 50%
WildCard 3-0 100%
Sides: 3-0 100%
SF @ CAR Live NFLplayByplay - Now! (Link Above)
Note: Last minute Picks just posted for Sony PGA see GolfPicks (Above).
I will post them ahead of time - next Tourney.
All Future NFL Play by Play Blogs will be posted to NFLplayByplay (Above)
Articles about the NFL will be Posted on State of The Rock (Above)
This way we do not clutter up this Handicapping Blog.
This Post is Updated Regularly - Please Refresh!
Improved Detailed Head to Head Matchup Live Now!
http://www.happycapper.com/WK19NFLGAMES.html
This is a Sneaky Week. At First Glance, Looks like 3 Easy Picks. The Exception Being NO @ SEA -8. Cant count on a Blowout and the -8 Falls Right at the the Projected Cover for the Seahawks.. None of the Games Qualified technically as System Picks. So just using the System Data to do our Best. Never a Bad Idea to throw in a few cheap Cover Tickets.
Let's take a Closer Look at All 4.
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WINNER! UNDER! Total (38)
@SEA -8 vs NO (47.5)
Projected SEA 24-16 (40) (System Totals Projected Under)
Final SEA 23-15 (38) System projected Score Pretty Good!
SIDE: (OFF) The Saints Defense Matches up pretty Well vs SEA and at a 40% avg in the Red Zone - Seahawks do not warrant 8.
O/U: (UND) The Under Looks Tempting, But, You are betting against Brees, Lynch, and Golden Tate. If it is another SEA Blowout - the last one went Under. System Purchased Under at 47.5. Update 1/9 Noon: Wind Advisory 15-25 Gusts to 35 (Caution:-Total Dropped to 46 Now to 43.5)
Winning Ticket
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WINNER! PATS -7
@NE -7.5 vs IND (53) (NE NOW@-7.5)
Projected NE 31-21 (52)
FINAL 43-22 NE
SIDE: (NE by 10) Dobson only a Foot Injury - Pulling Trigger Now on Patriots Before it goes to -10. (Waiting Injury) Dome Team on the Road in NE. IND 31st D Line and 27th Rush Def. Blount will Run on them - setting up Pass for Brady. Belichick wil not hand Luck and Hilton a Man defense that leaves Receivers wide open like KC. I believe Luck is Overrated and My money is on a Proven winner in Brady. He is comfortable with Amedola and Edelman and will find them often. Mathis only has one sack vs Pats.
1/10 8:00 Pm - WR Thompkins (Hip)-? / WR Dobson OUT Don't Forget: Edeleman has 6 TDs - as Bup for Thompkins. Dobson's Bup is Amendola who Practiced Fully.
O/U: (OFF) DIF -1.
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(LOSER) @CAR +2 vs SF (42.5) (CAR NOW@+1)
(WINNER) UNDER 42.5
Projected CAR 20-14 (34) (System Totals Projected Under)
I made a Rookie mistake on this Game. Talked only about Harbough bad management. I have Live Play by Play on Panthers and Rivera bad game management too. Knew both were inept. Gut said Panthers Rock Kap. But Brain knew CAR bad coach - and penalties (reflective of that )did play a big part of the Loss. Should have just taken Under.
Lesson: (Knew Better) Never Bet both sides of a Game - Side and OVER or UNDER
Lesson: Two Suspect Coaches - Stay Off
SIDE: (CAR by 7)
Smith Probable. Pulling Trigger Now on Panthers before Line Moves to CAR -1 or 3?
(Waiting Injury) SF will be on Cross Country Road Trips 2 Weeks in a Row. I subtracted 3 Points for that - From Original 24-17 System Total. GB 26th Defense Frustrated Harbough and Kap. I Think CAR will Pick & Sack KAP and win by 10. Panther should enjoy Good Field Position and have Better Drive Stats than SF (3rd Down Conversion % Etc.).
Smith Practiced Limited Wed and Thu.e.
1/12/13 7:39:
SF: CB Carlos Rodgers (2 INT)-?, But his Bup Brock (5 INT) is healthy
CAR: WR Smith "Sure he will play." Officially Questionable
WR Stewart Practiced Fully on Thursday. Officially Questionable
Weather: Clear / 56 / Wind - 6
O/U: (UND) Last Meeting Total (19) But Projected DIF just 4.5. 1 FG and your Sweating Hard.
Winning Ticket
Crazy Prediction: Kaepernick Knocked out of Game by Panthers Defense.
See Play by Play for Last SF Game vs GB - Inept Offense vs 26th GB Defense.
Also suspect play calling by Harbough.
http://happycapper.blogspot.com/2014/01/sf-vs-gb-live-play-by-play.html
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@ DEN -9.5 vs SD (55) (DEN NOW@-9.5)
(LOSER) Projected DEN 34-20 (53)
FINAL DEN 24-17
SIDE: (DEN by 14)
Pulling Trigger Now on Broncos Before it goes to -10
I was Ready to Jump on the SD Spread Until I realized Welker is Back. SD Does well in Matchup. But #1 DEN Pass Off vs 27th SD Pass Def. SD Plays better than Stats and Held CIN to 1 TD 2 INT. DEN Def is much weaker than CIN too. But Dalton isn't Manning. Projected Score started at 20-20 . But, by the Time you Add 3 for DEN at Home and 4 for the Pass Defense Disparity - You have 27-20. That Does Not Factor Welker. He's worth 7 = 34-20. If you disagree with any of those point additions -Original Projected 20-20 Take the Chargers.
Welker did not play in their lasting meeting in which Denver lost 27-20.
1/12/13 7:39:
DEN: No Starters Out.
SD: RB Mathews (?) Practiced Limited on Friday sporting a Brace on his Ankle.
WR Royal: DNP all week. However, this is standard practice for him with a Toe injury that has not prevented him from laying previously. Officially (?)
Weather: Only 5%Rain / 38 Kickoff Dropping to 30 / Wind 20 MPH
O/U: (OFF) DIF only -2
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