Tuesday, January 14, 2014

NFL Conference Championships Head to Head Matchups

NFC
SYSTEM CALLED WINNER AND EXACT FINAL SCORE!
FINAL SEATTLE 23 17
(WIN)Side: (SEA NOW @ -3)
As Predicted - Sherman Played a Role!
Post game interview was Hilarious! Guess Crabtree was talking smack with Sherman during the game. Sherman Violent Verbal rebuttal post-game. Scared the crap out of Female interviewer - Erin Andrews- "Back over to you Joe." LOL 



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AFC
SYSTEM CALLED TOTAL (41) WITHIN 1 POINT
FINAL DEN 26-16 TOTAL (42)
(Loss) Side: (NE NOW @ +5) 

Belichick Blows it!
Blount Only 5 carries!!!!
Sure they stopped him on the 1st  5. But you don't sit a guy who ran for 166 yards and 4 TDs last week. Blount 0 carries 2nd half. Belichick is an IDIOT!
Belichick Played Manning's Game - Manning Won.
Manning wins Shoot Out! Belichick should be Tarred and Feathered when he lands in Foxborough!
Blount no complaints. Class act: PostGame Interview


1/18 Just Added: Path to the SuperBowl AFC
1/18 Just Added: Path to the SuperBowl NFC


This weeks Matchups are Live!
http://www.happycapper.com/WK20NFLGAMES.html 

Almost Forgot...WOW!
It's Wednesday Midnight. Just woke up. Yeah, the Flu has Skewed my sleep schedule. But I awoke to a realization I had Overlooked. Like a good doctor examining a beautiful woman - I have been looking at this weeks games from a clinical, professional perspective. Screw that!
Finally for the first time in years - the 4 best teams in Football are playing for a spot in the SuperBowl!

We're talking Brady vs Manning! 49ers -Seattle! I'm so tired of seeing 2nd rate teams slip into this round - due to a flawed playoff system. Not this year! The Best of the Best go Head to Head this week. You don't need to have a dime on either game to be glued to your set on Sunday. Enjoy!
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FINAL: Sorry everyone! Belichick screwed us.
No reason for Pats to Lose.
He left Blount on the bench. Have to give a back enough reps top get hot - he didn't.
Blount would have let them control time of possession. Keeping it away from Manning. With Dobson back - the deep ball would have been there if they sold the Run. 
Belechick had everything he needed for an easy win and Blew it!
Congrats Broncos fans - you played a great game. Fox outcoached Belichick.
Manning outplayed Brady (who missed crucial passes). Pats defense was dumbstruck. Manning played like a surgeon and Broncos defense played a damn near perfect game.

@DEN - 5 vs NE
Projected NE 21-20
(Loss) Side: (NE NOW @ +5)
Final DEN 26-16

1/18/13 Update:NE: WRs Thompkins / Dobson Officially Ques. CB Dennard Prob. 1/18/13 Update: DEN: D. Thomas (Probable) (Calf) Limited in Practice Friday.
15/13 Update: Brady (Illness) DNP Wed. Practiced Thu. 
1/15/13 Update: William Hill Has Opened @ -3 SEA with +5 NE (Final Line Picks)
1/15/13 Update: NE: Boston Herald Reports Dobson and Thompkins Probable.
Blount is a Monster Right Now vs 23rd Denver Rush Def.  
If you can Run you can Pass - Brady will do both. 
Manning 3 Trips inside 30 for 6 Points last week vs SD.
Patriot Pick is Not Pending Injury Report.  However, If Dobson Plays - Adjust to NE 28-20.
Dobson is the Missing Deep Threat that can Score Quickly. 

Total: 55
Projected: (41)
Over / Under: OFF?
FINAL DEN 21-10 TOTAL (42)

(UNDER) The Rule is: Never bet the Under with 2 Great QBs. Temping Though - if Dobson is Out. Run seems to be the Name of the Game so Far this Playoff Season. Belichick will Use Blount and Ridley to Keep the Ball out of Mannings Hands.
(OVER) If Dobson Does Play - Brady goes deep and Manning Follows.
But Over Factored @ 55.  
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SYSTEM CALLED WINNER AND EXACT FINAL SCORE!
FINAL SEATTLE 23 -17
@SEA - 3 vs SF
Projected SEA 23-17
(WIN)Side: (SEA NOW @ -3)

1/18/13 Update: Tukuafu FB - Ques- Bup Dixon RB 2Tds = Non Factor 
1/18/13 Update: Rogers CB 47 Tk, 2 INTs - Ques- Bup Brock 37 Tk, 5 INTs = Non Factor.
1/18/13 Update: Harvin OUT!  LB Wright, K.J.- Probable 
1/15/13 Update: William Hill Has Opened @ -3 SEA with +5 NE (Final Line Picks)
Projected SEA by 6.  I Expected SF to Fall to Panthers - But Lack of Offense for CAR let SF Advance. I think Sherman will Pick Kaepernick and Lynch will provide enough Offense for them to Cover.  However both teams are Struggling in the Red Zone. Both Teams Suspect Play Calling and Less than 40% TDs inside the 20.  System Projected 20-17. I was Off this Side - But If you ADD 3 for SEA @ Home - They Cover 23-17. I wasn't going to Mess with System Scores, (Although SEA is Usually worth +3 @ Home) Until I learned about Ticket Gate:

The Seattle Ticket Office Has Refused to Sell any Tickets to a California Zip Code.
This is a Funny Story - but also a Factor Worth Considering. Seattle is already one of the loudest Stadiums in the league. Imagine the Decibel Level with 95 % Hawks fans.
Kaepernick and the Off Line will not be able to hear themselves think. So I went ahead and Gave SEA 3 for Home Field Advantage. You could just subtract 3 from SF - as it will effect their Offense. Either way Hawks Cover. If it does get that Loud - could be worth 6 - if you consider the 3 and Out Factor. 
1/15/13 Update:
Upon Further review - The attempt to prevent SF Fans from purchasing tickets may be in vein. Nothing prevents Niner Fans from purchasing tickets online from StubHub or other agencies.  However, nothing can stop them from selling out Blocks of the seats to Hawks fans first. We'll just have to wait and see how much Maroon and Gold Makes it in the gate on Sunday. Hawks still worth 3 at home either way.


Disclaimer: SF Won the System Matchup by (80) and OL by (14). However, the System Projected the final Score at 23-17 Seattle. 

Total: 39.5
Projected: (40)
Over / Under: OFF
Dif only 2.5. Too Close for Comfort.
Last Meeting SF 19-17 (36)

1/15/13 Update: William Hill Has Opened @ -3 SEA with +5 NE (Final Line Picks)
Spread Alert!:
Percey Harvin Needs to Pass Concussion Test Wed or Thu to Play.
This is Effecting the Line. It has NO effect on My SEA Pick.
I say that because although he played great - Wilson did not spread it around with Him in the Game. They may be more effective mixing it up with Kearse, Boldin and Drop offs to Lynch if Harvin Does not Play.

Here are Your Spread Choices:
(-3) Currently Available MGM and Stations (12:08 pm 1/14/13).
http://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds/las-vegas/
Much Better than 3.5 if it Disappears or Rises.
Only Downside is a slight chance the Line could Drop to 2.5 if Harvin is Out. 
But with Ticket Gate - This May be Unlikely. 
The System is Buying SeaHawks Now @ -3
(-3.5) Is the Line at Many Books. if You Can't get to a -3 Book - should be OK - But you might as well wait for a chance at -3 by Friday. If it Goes to 4 you didn't Lose much by Waiting. Worst case it goes to 6 and then waiting would be a mistake. You Make the Call!

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