Monday, December 12, 2016

WEEK 14 MONDAY NIGHT 2016

@NE-6.5 vs BAL (45.5)
Projected NE 24-14 (38)

Off this game, but here's our preview:

PATRIOTS
I liked Ravens at first, but BAL Pass defense is 24th? Pats were bad in Red Zone without Gronk vs LA (only projected at 45% tonight). Amendola also out, but mainly a return specialist. Look for a full dose of Blount and swing passes to White. Edelman, Hogan and Mitchell are still valid targets with more reps in practice now that Gronk is gone for the yr. 

RAVENS
Ravens lose on Rush Defense but projected at 79% in the Red Zone tonight. Pita, Wallace and Smith have serious game. If they try to Run 1st - game over. They lose the Rush Offensive Match Up. But, if Ravens Pass 1st to set up the Run, they could in outright.  

TOTAL
Coin toss: Up to the Ravens Offensive Coordinators calls...

If Ravens try to Run First and Flacco is under pressure - UNDER.

If Ravens Pass First to set up Run - OVER.

HEAD TO HEAD
 

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