Monday, November 5, 2018

NFL WEEK 9 MNF

@DAL -4.5 vs TEN (40)  
System Predicts DAL 17-9
My Guess DAL 27-16 ? 
NO BET

This one is a little tricky. 

SIDE
DAL is 3-0 at Home this year and scores a higher avg of 30 points in Dallas.  
DAL is 3-0 vs the spread at home this yr. 
But- They lose Pass Offense and Red Zone Offense Big! Giving 5? 
They do win Rush Offense Big - So Elliott could have a big night and open up the pass game for Prescott? 

TOTAL
System has it DAL 17-9 (26).
Experts 70% UNDER 
Both Defenses allow less than 40% TDs in Red Zones.
But - DAL scores an avg of 30 at Home. 
A few extra FGs from Titans and 28 -13 (41) ? 
It's a low Total to bet an Under on? 
27-16 (43) would not surprise me? 


SUMMARY
If you bet DAL - Stay off the Under. 
I'm going to Pass on this one and call it a week at 4-2. 

HEAD TO HEAD


No comments: