Friday, November 30, 2012


Week 13 Falcons vs Saints.

What Could have Been. 

As the egg yoke and whites dripped down the windows of the Saints team bus the day before, it must have stirred vengeance in the hearts of the New Orleans players. Local fans in Atlanta had in essence – stoned their unwelcome rivals.  They had started the season 0-4,  without a coach and somehow still had a chance to make the playoffs with a win last night. Who would have egg on their face when this one was over – they must have thought.

Even the oddsmakers knew going in.  The outcome of this game could not be predicted with mere statistics. They set the line low at -3.5 for a 10-1 home team hosting a 5-6 division rival - with what Deon Sanders described in the pre-game as “The worst defense in NFL history.” That seemed overstated. 

Like a rematch between Sea Biscuit and Man-O-War, there were intangibles here that could not be measured; Heart and Pride. The heart, mainly that of Drew Brees. A quarterback more accurate than an archer, with the game presence of a president and the heart of a teenager. He had lost the game for his team the week before with a forced pass that was intercepted. We all knew that would not happen again. The pride, an Atlanta team at home - that in their own words, should have won the last match up easily. 

As the opening shot was fired, Matt Ryan threw a short pass to the right that could have and should have been taken to the house by Saints CB Jenkins for 6 Saints points – if tight end Gonzales had not wrestled the ball back for an eight yard gain. 

The Saints rush defense then allowed Michael Turner to run on them at will. Before you knew it, the Falcons were up 14 nothing and Deon Sanders looked more like Nostradamus than MC Hammer. Anyone hoping for a close fought cliffhanger - was surfing the channel guide for alternative programming. Then the saints found a spark and drove down for a running touchdown. 

At 17 – 7 there was hope. 

Near the end of the first half - the Saints caught fire again and drove inside the Atlanta 10 yard line. Touchdown Saints! The pass was called back by a penalty. With 35 seconds left, Brees ran two plays down to the 2 yard line. As he rallied the team to line with 7 seconds left – you watched the clock tick down to zero. 

Falcon 17 Saints 7.
Not 17-14
Not 17-10
17-7 

Only God and coaches know what really happens in a locker room at halftime. As the second half began, something was different. We watched the Saints come onto the field and there was an energy. Highlights of Brees rallying his troupes before the game resonated like an acid flashback. “This is our division, we know and they know it.” He had us too, climbing on an irresistible emotional bandwagon.

As the second half began - suddenly, the worst defense in NFL history was shutting down the 10-1 Falcons offense. Three and out. Three and out. The New Orleans offense was on fire again as well. Then it happened.  Brees about to score - forces a throw and is picked off. The Saints defense holds and there is still hope. He’s only human. Then it happens again. Brees throws a pick, Saints defense holds. Time and time again - they drove the ball down the field only to have their field general hand the ball back to the enemy. The number one scoring offense in the NFL - couldn’t score.

With about 4 minutes left in the game, down by 10, the Saints have one last chance. They mount a drive that reminded us all of all those great last minute comebacks. Then, to our dismay, it happens again. Brees, under pressure, lobs a ball over the heads of the oncoming pass rushers and completes a pass to an Atlanta defensive linemen. Falcons ball on the Saints 30. Game over. 

But like any great Odyssey - it wasn’t. With just a couple minutes left in the game - the saints defense holds up the Falcons running back and strips the ball. Saints run it in for a touchdown. We can’t believe it happened, but it did, and the Cinderella story isn’t over. The touchdown is called back, but the Saints have the ball and one more, one more last chance. And then, it happened again. His childlike enthusiasm that we love so much, had caused him to force passes - instead of taking what the defense gave him and winning a game they should have won. 

Final Score - Falcons 23. Saints 13. 

The Falcons claimed the Saints didn’t beat them in the last game – they beat themselves. Now the Saints can claim the same. 

Something ended last night. It was not the career of Drew Brees. And it was not the end of his record for consecutive TD passes that left us empty. It was the chance to witness something amazing that we lost. To quote Sea Biscuit; "Sometimes the little guy just needs a second chance"  They got one, and it would have been fun to see the the underdog beat the odds. If there is a lesson to be learned in all of this – it falls somewhere between the power of the human spirit and the value of self control. 

Sometimes we can want something so bad, we lose our patience in pursuit of it. Drew Brees, like Moses,  will not see the promised land this year. But, at the end of the day, all we can do if is be grateful for the ride.

-Rick Jansen


Thursday, November 29, 2012

WEEK 13 TOP PICKS

SEA +3.5 AT CHI
They sucked without Cutler - but let's not forget Cutler sucks half the time anyway. He'll be under pressure to perform now. SEA defense should play well with Forte and Hester both hurting. Go Hawks. Love the hook + 3.5

HOU -6 @ TEN 
Yes, we all expect HOU to win by 16 every week and they have not played great the last two week. But, they win and should easily do so by 7 this week. Love the low line. 

Friday, November 23, 2012

  
        WE LOVE YOU LONG TIME CHARLIE 
                  HE'LL STEP UP THIS WEEK!

POST GAME: DID YOU FORGET HOW TO THROW? SORRY CHARLIE
GOOD START WEEK 12

2 WINS AND A PUSH ON MY FIRST TICKET. PAYS FOR MY WEEKEND.

BEATS A SHARP PENALTY FLAG IN THE EYE. 

 


Saturday, November 17, 2012

WK 11 - RAVENS HUGE OVER STEELERS!

BEN IS OUT - LEFTWICH (GARY COLEMAN) IS IN!
THE RAVENS ONLY -3.5, WILL DESTROY HIS FAT ASS.
BALTIMORE ALSO HAS #2 OFF LINE VS 27TH DEF LINE OF PIT.  RAVENS OFFENSE 67% TDs IN REDZONE AND ALLOW ONLY 36% TDs RED ZONE DEFENSE.

BTW I HATE RAPISTBERGER - BUT HIS STATS ARE OF THE HOOK THIS YEAR. IF BATCH WASN'T ON IR - I WOULDN'T TOUCH THIS GAME. BUT NEITHER IS THE CASE AND LOOKS LIKE A SLAUGHTER AT HANDS OF THE RAVENS THAT THE ODDSMAKERS ARE NOT CHARGING US FOR AT -3.5. THANK YOU SPORTSBOOK.
BUSH BENCHED BY PHILBIN

If you watched the Miami vs Buffalo game Monday Night. you saw a very talented, poorly coached dolphins team. Philbin repeatedly abandons the run as soon as the other team starts passing or they lose the lead. Miami is a run team. When you have a 1000 yd rusher last year - its the coaches job to repeat that success. He's blown that completely.

Reggie will be a starting RB in the NFL next year. 
Rookie coach Philbin will be selling shoes. 

Thursday, November 8, 2012

POST GAME: WINNER!

WK 10 

PICK OF THE WEEK

Watt Swats Cutler

Hou + 1.5 @ Chi 




Saturday, November 3, 2012

WEEK 9 LOOKS PROMISING 

POST GAME:  5 OF 6
Miami faced a weak rush defense but only ran Bush for 10 carries and 1 impressive TD Run. Rookie coach - stupid move. Ind had Reggie Wayne and they tried to play Indies game passing. Running would have kept the ball out of Luck and Wayne's hands. Missed 5 for 5 and $3300 off $100 by a FG. It was fun though. Split the system picks into 2 x 3 team parlays and won one for $486. System called Chicago too - to go 5 of 6 for the week. Save 1 bad under call by me.

TOP PICKS

                       COVER
MUP LINE  BY    RK                        RK
WIN - 184/ -10.5 / 20.6 / (1)HOU(H) OVER (25) BUF
LOSS -136 / -2.5 / 8.4/ (4)MIAMI@ OVER (28)IND 

WIN -183 / -3.5 / 10.3 / (6)DET@ OVER (32)JAC

WIN -163 / -1.5 / 11.3(7)TB @ OVER (31)OAK
WIN -77/ -3.5 / 10/ (14)DEN@ OVER (26)CIN 
LIKE EM ALL 
HOU
MIA
DET
TB
DEN 
OVER / UNDER PICS 

SEA / MIN UNDER 39
WAS / CAR OVER 47

Thursday, October 25, 2012

GOOD START WEEK 8 

CHANGED MY CALL TO OVER - MY BUD ALREADY BET UNDER SO GOT HIM A TICKET


Saturday, October 20, 2012

WEEK 7 TOP PICKS 

SYSTEM

(PICK OF THE WEEK) >MIN @HOME -6 OVER AZ 
MIN @HOME -6 OVER AZ NO RG3 THIS WEEK - KOLB OUT FOR AZ.                     
MIN WINS AT HOME 3-0 BY AVG OF 10 INCL VS SF                    
SKELTON 1GS AND CARDS OFF LINE IS LAST IN NFL. MIN DEF LINE 3RD                    
AND OFF LINE 10TH,  MIN WILL CONTROL THE GAME                   
AZ RUSH AND PASS OFF NEXT TO LAST VS #3 PASS DEF FOR MIN             



RICK PICK

NE @HOME -10.5 OVER NYJ
HERNANDEZ WILL REPLACE BOLDEN AT RB- COULD WORK W HIS RECEIVING
NYJ HAVE HAD AN EASY SCHEDULE - SO STATS A LITTLE SKEWED.
PATS PASS DEF 7TH VS NYJ PASS OFF 25TH LONG DAY SANCHEZ
PATS RUSH OFF 3RD WILL EXPLOIT JETS 28TH RNKD RUSH DEF THIS SHOULD
OPEN UP THE PASS FOR PATS IN SPITE IF 5TH RATED PASS DEF FOR NYJ
 

 ALL MATCH UPS LIVE ONLINE NOW
http://happycapper.com/                     

Friday, October 19, 2012


With 40 seconds left in game - down by 6 - I had Sea +8.5 and under 37.5  Score 13-6 - Hawks had 4th down on their own 12. All I needed was an incomplete pass. Anything but a pic 6 or safety and SF takes over and takes a knee. I win. 

Russell wasn't even close to being sacked and short pass went for what looked like a first down. Then I see the ref signal "Safety!  an offensive lineman held while he was in the endzone. That put me down by 9 and I lose.  But wait!  Harbough calls the ref over and tells him to measure. They do - Sea inches short. Harbough declines the penalty - gives back the 2 point safety - Niners take over on downs, take a knee and I win $380. Crazy!

Must say as lucky as it was - it was a good pick. Sea dropped 5 passes and missed a FG or they would have won outright anyway. The UNDER played out perfectly - just like the system called it. 
.

Monday, October 15, 2012


Money on Manning
Down 7 you know. Down 14 your hope. Down 24 you wish.
wishes come true. 
Lightning Strikes Twice.
Rooting for Seahawks and Redskins to come back - RG3 runs for 70 yds as Russell throws a 40 yd TD pass - at exactly the same time

WEEK 6 WINNERS!
3 TEAM $40 TO WIN $280 / 4 TEAM $40 TO WIN $480




Saturday, October 13, 2012

WEEK 6 TOP PICKS

PICK OF THE WEEK!
(W) DEN +1 @ SD

SYSTEM PICKS 
(L) ATL -9 HM OVER OAK
(W) SEA +3.5 @HM OVER NE
(W) SEA / NE UNDER 
(OFF) HOU -3.5 @ HM OVER GB (INJURY CUSHING OFF) 
(W) DEN +1 @ SD 

 ALL MATCH UPS LIVE ONLINE NOW
http://happycapper.com/


Tuesday, October 9, 2012

TIPS

Over Under Parlays
If you are going to take a team and the over or under - just to make it a parlay. Be careful taking Under if you are giving more than 7.  You may find yourself rooting for your team to cover - only to realize you went over the under to do so.


Match Ups
Look for Red (Low Rank) vs Blue (High Rank) mismatches on The Match Up grids. Last night NYJ ran a kick off back for a TD. The Hou vs NYJ Match up caught that disparity in the Special Teams category. Hou 29th vs NYJ 8th. 

CHECK OUT OUR SITE
http://www.happycapper.com/ 

Sunday, October 7, 2012

WEEK 5 TOP PICKS

RICK PICS 0-2
(L) GB -7 @ IND
(L) HOU - 8 @ NYJ (kick off return for TD killed my cover by 8)

SYSTEM PICKS 7-1 Season Total 12-2
(W) HOU - 8 @ NYJ
(W) MIN @ HM -5.5 OVER TEN 
(L) BAL -6.5 @ KC 
(W) NYG -8.5 @HOME OVER CLE
(W) PHI +3.5 @ PIT 
(W) MIA +3 @ CIN
(W) CHI -5.5 @ JAC

UPSET OF THE WEEK 1-0
(W) NO - 3.5 @ HM OVER SD


GOOD LUCK!


 

Thursday, October 4, 2012

From Week 4 2012

MY UPSET THE WEEK
 

(w) CAR+7 @ ATL

SYSTEM PICKS

(w) HOU -12 @ TEN

(w) DEN -7 @HOME OVER OAK

GOOD LUCK!

Sunday, September 23, 2012

Welcome Back!  Week 3 2012

MY UPSET THE WEEK
 

(w) ATL +3 @ SD

GOOD LUCK!