Sunday, January 17, 2016

NFL PICKS AFC / NFC CHAMPIONSHIPS

Some Great Odds in Golf This week....
http://golfpicks.blogspot.com/  

EARLY LINE PICKS
THESE ARE FINAL BANK BETS

NE -3
CAR -3  

HEAD TO HEAD


BANK RECEIPT
(2 TEAM PARLAY $100)
 
POSTGAME BANK BALANCE





Sunday, January 10, 2016

NFL PICKS DIVISIONAL PLAYOFFS

VIRTUAL BANK WINS BIG!
(3 Team Parlay Pays $1200) 
Bank Up $552 155% on the Year
 
EARLY LINE PICKS
THESE ARE FINAL BANK BETS

NE -4.5 (WIN) 
CAR -1.5 (WIN)
DEN -6 (WIN)


@NE -4.5 vs KC (43)

Post: NE 27-20
Projected NE 17-10 (27) (NE) (WIN) 
Although the Chiefs scored 30 vs the Texans - most of those points were the result of 3 and outs and turnovers by the Houston offense. Several turnovers occurred in the first half, about 6 scoring ops resulted in just 13 points by an ineffective KC Red Zone Offense. The Pats have a laundry list of injuries including Gronk and Amendola listed as questionable. However, Gronk is expected to play and Edelman is also Probable. NE has a better offense and defense, I like them by a TD at Home. < Correct - NE won by a TD )

Over / Under (OFF)
With limited targets - Brady may not run it up vs the 3rd ranked KC pass defense. However, KC allows 75% TDs in the red Zone and the Pats defense may hand Brady 3 and outs which could take it Over 43? < Correct - Total went over - 47)


@ARI -7 vs GB (49.5)

Post: ARI 26-20 (My Gut was Right - Cards Did Not Cover)
Projected ARI 34-21 (55) (OFF)
If you like the Cards - the Stats agree. ARI may indeed blow out GB. I just do not feel comfortable betting them. Cards dominate the match up - but they scored 6 vs Seattle and the Packers put up 35 vs the Skins. You can't compare those teams defensively - but Rodgers got hot vs the Vikings if he does again this week - and Cards stall again - anything can happen in a year where everything has. It may be a mistake but my gut says stay off this one. (It sure as hell did) LOL.

Over / Under (OFF)
Packers could stall vs a solid Cards defense - if so this one goes under. Off. 
(Correct - Total went under - 49.5)


@CAR -1.5 vs SEA (47)

Post: CAR 31-24
Projected CAR 27-20 (47) (CAR) (WIN)
Pete Carrol and his inept offensive coordinator Darrell Bevel are allowing Russell Wilson to run around the backfield again. This strategy will result in absolute failure on offense vs the Panthers. Last week - 3 visits to the MIN 30 resulted in 0 TDs. Unless they stay vertical with short passes, boots and a lot of lynch - 3 and outs will = a route for CAR. You have 2 good defenses and 1 good offense in this one - led by Cam Newton - "NOT"  Russell Wilson. Panthers roll by 7 or more.

Over / Under (OFF)
It would not surprise me one bit if Wilson is allowed to take deep drops and run around the backfield. If so - 3 and outs by SEA could wear down the SEA Defense. This would allow the Panthers to run over the Hawks and it could go over.

 
@DEN -6 vs PIT (39.5)

Post: DEN 20-13 
Projected DEN 24-13 (37) (DEN) (WIN)
Denver is scary healthy. The Steelers on the other hand will be without their top Running back Williams and WR Brown. Ben is expected to play but is hurting. That is "NOT" the main reason hey will lose. That burden will fall on Offensive coordinator Todd Haley. He is the worst play caller in the league. The PIT offense struggled vs CIN "with' Brown in the line up for 119 yds receiving. Manning's days in the NFL are numbered. He should have a decent one Sunday though - vs a tired PIT defense - worn out by bad playing calling and 3 and out on Offense. DEN by 10.

Over / Under (OFF)
We have the total within a few points of the Book - so were off the Over / Under.





BANK RECEIPT (3 team pays $1200)





Tuesday, January 5, 2016

NFL PICKS WEEK 18 WILD CARD WEEKEND


KC -3 @HOU (Everywhere) 
Chiefs are just a much better team. 
Caution: (OFF) No QBs out for HOU - Texans won the match up!

3 TEAM PARLAY
BANK BET
$200 Pays $1200 

@CIN +3 vs PIT (Wynn)
Let's Hope Todd Haley Calls a bad game for Steelers again. 
I like Bengals at Home getting a FG. PIT has the weaker Pass Def.

SEA -4.5 @MIN (MGM) 
Lynch Full Practice - Buy Now - Line May Move toward SEA Soon.
Lynch refuses to board plane "I'm not feeling it" - OUT!
Details:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9AfANEPSIZc

GB @ WAS OVER (45.5)
Skins hot, at home, and win Match Up. Projected by 10+ - But - WAS Pass Def 27th vs Rodgers? WAS Rush Def 25th? Taking the Over instead.

HEAD TO HEAD 
 

BANK RECEIPT 


NFL PICKS WEEK 17 RECAP

The sportbooks cleaned up as every sensible bet went south. I miss professional Football. Haven't seen much of that this year. Most games seem to be decided by luck more than skill this year. Oh well, no time to whine - onto the playoffs.  

The Good News
If we only go 50% this year - our 5 year average will be 68% - that is still the best record on the planet by a mile. Part Time - with no staff - full crew next year.

NEXT YEAR - NO WIN - NO CHARGE!
After the first 0-5 week in our history I thought about next year. If we start charging $40 a month for full access to our data and picks I made a decision. Any month we do not show a profit - the next month is free. We will be "Hands Down" the best deal in town. Keep in mind too - right now I do this part time. Next year I will have a full crew full time. Can't wait! 

WEEK 17 BANK 


Saturday, January 2, 2016

NFL PICKS WEEK 17 TEASER

7 POINT TEASER
BONUS - OFF THE RECORD
$100 PAYS $450
SEE BANK BETS (PREVIOUS POST)