Monday, October 13, 2014

NFL PICKS WEEK 6 MONDAY NIGHT

WINNING!
Projected 28-17
31-17 Works for Me!
Yeah, we got a Pick 6 to cover
But we also got robbed of 7 earlier,
When SF Choked from inside the Ram's10.
I credit the system for a Good Matchup Data. 
It called the 3 and Outs by STL we saw in the 2nd half
Also, warned us SF was only 46% in Red Zone.
Made it an educated guess. Cant ask for more than that. 

PARLAY PICKS 9-1 THIS WEEK!


_________PREGAME_________
 

I'M OFF THIS GAME
BUT HAVE SOME GOOD MATCH UP NOTES

STL +3.5
MY ORIGINAL GUESS ON THIS GAME WAS STL +3.5
COULD STILL HAPPEN
KAP NEVER LEARNED HOW TO THROW A FOOTBALL.  
THE NINER'S OFFENSE IS ALSO JUST 44 % IN THE RED ZONE.
THE SF RED ZONE DEF ALLOWS 60%
THEY HAD A VERY LONG ROAD TRIP CROSS COUNTRY. 
FISHER IS A SMART COACH
RAMS ARE AT HOME IN A NETWORK GAME = +3? 
SF ONLY COVERED THE LAST 2 GAMES BY 5 OR 6 (AT HOME) 
GIVEN THOSE FACTORS - THE +3.5 HOOK COULD BE A GIFT.  

SF - 3.5
ON THE OTHER HAND.
THE STL DEF LINE AND RUSH DEF IS NEAR LAST. 
THEY FACE THE 8TH RATED SF RUSH OFFENSE
THAT COULD TAKE THE PRESSURE OFF KAP.
IT COULD ALSO ALLOW HIM TO SHRED THEM WITH HIS LEGS. 
ON THE OTHER SIDE OF THE BALL:
SF IS TOP 10 IN DEF LINE / RUSH DEF AND PASS DEF.
STL IS ABOUT 20TH IN OFF LINE / RUSH OFF AND PASS OFF. 

BEST GUESS
SF RUNS ON RAMS AND SETS UP PASS AND QB RUNS FOR KAP
THE SF DEFENSE FORCES 3 AND OUTS
THIS ALLOWS SF TO COVER EASY = 28?.
NIGHT GAMES HAVE BEEN GOING OVER
THE RAMS HAVE TALENT ON OFFENSE = 17?

PROJECTED 
SF 28-17
 OVER (44)

VIEW FULL MATCHUP
TONIGHT'S GAME AT THE BOTTOM OF LINK BELOW

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