Wednesday, September 13, 2017

NFL PICKS WEEK 1 REVEIW

PRESEASON GAME FILM? 

As you know, our wining record comes from specializing in head to head stats, There are no relevant stats in week one. So, this year, I studied game film from week 3 preseason - 1st half only (starters vs starters). We found a few pearls (Browns improved, Eagles solid, Savage sucks in Houston), but for the most part, it was misleading.

Examples:

Wk3 PS
PS Colts and Tolzien looked great!
Rams looked terrible
Wk1 RS
Tolzien stunk
Rams looked great!

Wk3 PS
Saints looked great!
Viking looked bad
Wk1 RS
Saints stunk!
Vikings looked great! 

7 picks week one was a little careless and resulted in our worst week in 6 yrs 2-5. But, most pros got clobbered. Highly respected Gold Sheet went 0-4. In 6 yrs we've had only a few weeks under 50%.

We'll take it slow the next few weeks until the stats start to mean something. Game film will play a larger part in pick selection this yr, this will pay dividends combined with stats after a few weeks. Ready to get back to head to head stats and have a great yr!

ONLINE PROGRESSIVE BANK  (DOWN LESS THAN $50) ALL GOOD!



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