Monday, January 14, 2013

PICKS NFC AFC CHAMIONSHIPS


SF#6 (-3.5) @ ATL #8
# = Total Overall Rank out of 32 teams - Regular Season 
 

SF BY 7
ATL HORRIBLE OFF LINE AND RUSH DEF, SF WEAK RZ OFF AND DEF - ALSO BAD PLACE KICKER. BUT I LIKE 49ERs BY 7 DUE TO WEAK RUSH DEF VS GORE / KAP AND BAD OFF LINE VS ALDON SMITH 19.5 SACKs REG SEASON 

CAUTION - KAEPERNICK LOFTS THE BALL AND IS VULNERABLE TO ATL 10th RATED PASS DEF WITH 20 INTs and a T/O RATIO OF +13. A few picks could be just enough for ATL to hold them to 3 or upset them.  Also, SF 21st in Red Zone Offense. 

OVER (48.5)
YOU HAVE 2 GOOD PASS DEFs - BUT TOO GREAT OFFENSES. ATL 4TH PASS OFF AND SF 4TH RUSH OFF VS ATL 24TH RUSH DEF. SO, BOTH TEAMS WILL SCORE. SF MORE EXPLOSIVE - BUT - WEAK IN RED ZONE DEF. Like Over at 48.5 - but not if line goes over 50. Projecting  27-24 (51)

(H) NE #1 (-9.5) VS BAL #11

NE BY 10
PATs GREAT RZ OFF VS GREAT BAL RZ DEF - OFF WINS - WASH.  BUT BAL 27TH DEF LINE AND 22ND RUSH DEF SHOULD OPEN UP RIDLEY RUSHING AND THUS BRADY PASSING. NE 20 INTS AND +25 T/O RATION WILL BE DIFFERENCE. RAY LEWIS PREACHING TO THE CHOIR THIS WEEK. 

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