Thursday, January 10, 2013

SYSTEM PICKS DIVISIONAL PLAY OFFS


To Qualify as a System Pick a team must:
1. Win the overall Match Up Rating by 60 or more or as Dog by -35 or more (RAT)
2. Win the Offensive Line Match Up (OL)
3. Preferably win the Filed Position Match Up (FP)
4. Be Projected to cover the Spread (By) 




HM
FAV
FG
DOG
FG
RAT
OL
FP
BY
LINE
PRO
TTL
DIF
UNDER  H
DEN
81%
BAL
90%
 57
-6
24
7
-9
41
46
-5
SF H
SF
69%
GB
63%  49
24
5
4
-3
41
44.5
-3
SEA H
ATL
87%
SEA
83%
 -59
-21
-11
-2
-2.5
51
46
5

H
NE
83%
HOU
83%
 35
5
-2
9
-9.5
60
47.5
12

SEA
As you can see above - the only team that Qualified was SEA. 

SF
Because it is the Play Offs and you cant expect the same size Rating disparities (60) as the regular season - I also qualified SF (49).

UNDER
There are 2 potential Unders and Overs. I like the DEN vs BAL over UNDER as the weather is 20 degrees.  DEN is without McGehee and BAL has a great Red Zone Def.

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