Wednesday, December 10, 2014

NFL PICKS WEEK 14 RECAP

WERE BAAACK! 
Week 14
4-0 100%
Season 
53-36 60%
 I told you the Scoring would kick in later in the year
It Has. We were 9-3 in the Playoffs Last Year.
Called Exact Score in SEA-SF Conference Playoff.
Looking to Finish Strong This Year too! 
 
NEARLY CALLED (4) EXACT FINAL SCORES!
PROJECTED: IND/CLE 26-23
                           FINAL: 25-24
PROJECTED: HOU/JAC: 26-13
                              FINAL: 27-13
PROJECTED: DEN/BUF: 23-14
                             FINAL: 24-17
PROJECTED: KC/ARI: 17-17
                          FINAL: 14-17

FINALS

 BLOW OUT ALERT
Well it worked in Detroit
Should have Worked for Pats game too
Belichick Runs at will on Chargers. 
Then Abandons Run (on first drive) on SD 1 yd Line.
Mind Boggling!
Blount and Jonas Gray are nearly unstoppable on the Ground. 
2nd Time Belichick has abandoned Run Early in a Game.
He Pulled Blount Early last year in the Playoffs and Lost.
Had NE continued to Run Regularly - they cover SD by 14 Easy.
If he pulls that Crap in the Playoffs - It could cost them another Ring.

DRIVE STATS
The Verdict is In!
Great Tool, But Not a Qualifier by Itself.
For Picks or Over Unders.
Colts Won Both Sides of Drive Stats and Did Not Cover.
MIA/BAL Drive Stats Under - Went Over
NE/SD Drive Stats Over - Went Under.
PICK FACTOR 
Drive Stats are Still a Great Tool
Example: 4 Games Qualify. You want a 3 team Parlay.
Check the Drive Stats as a Decider who to Keep as your 3.
OVER / UNDER FACTOR
Drive Stats are Still a Great Tool For Totals.
I Wasn't going to Risk a Loss on Over, Unders This Week.
Thus The ? Next to the Under and Overs
Drives Stats Alone - OVR/UND By Itself - 1-2 Last 2 Weeks.

From Now On 4 to Qualify!
DIF: Diference Between Book and Projected Total
 RZ: Projected Combined Red Zone Offenses
PO: Projected Combined Pass Offenses
  DR: Projected Combined Drive Offensive Success
If All 4 Light Up Red or Blue - We'll Take a Shot. 

 

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