Monday, September 22, 2014

NFL PICKS MONDAY NIGHT HEAD TO HEAD MATCHUP

___________POSTGAME__________
Glad I Called Off this One. 
My Best Guess was Close
Got it Half Right.
CHI / UND
I missed One Big Factor or would have won Over too.
I Noticed in spite of bad Rush Offense - Forte 103 yd game vs SF
I Missed - Even though Jets 25th Pass Offense - Decker had 137 yds vs GB = Over
But Decker was questionable - so, that's why I didn't factor that.
The Red Zone Stats came through big time though.
Jets 0 TDs in the Red Zone. That was the Difference.

We Had  Great Week 7-1 88%
16-6 73% So Far This Season
Hope yours was great too!
Looking Forward to Week 4

___________PREGAME__________  

OFF
I'll Quit while I'm Ahead (7-1) and stay off this one. 
However, we do have some good Match Up Data and Notes.

Here is a Game Strip with the Main stats
Note: Too Early for Projected Scores or Totals to Matter Yet
For the Full Match Up Go Here:
VIEW LATE GAME MATCHUPS
Bottom of the Page

SUMMARY
JETS
OFFENSE
THE JETS RUSH OFF AND OFF LINE ARE TOP 5. 
THE NYJ PASS OFFENSE IS NEAR LAST.
WR ERIC DECKER IS QUESTIONABLE. 
THE CHICAGO PASS DEFENSE IS 4TH.
JETS PROJECTED ONLY 50% TDs IN THE RED ZONE
JETS KICKER IS 100% SO FAR THIS YEAR
JETS
DEFENSE
 JETS RUSH DEF AND DEF LINE ARE TOP 3.
JETS AVG 3 SACKS PER GAME..
BUT - JETS PROJECTED TO ALLOW 73% TDs IN THE RED ZONE

BEARS
OFFENSE
BEARS PASS OFF IS 2ND VS 23RD JETS PASS DEF
MARSHALL AND JEFFERY ARE  EXPECTED TO PLAY
THE BEARS OFF LINE AND RUSH OFF ARE NEAR LAST
HOWEVER, FORTE RUSHED FOR 103 VS SF
BEARS PROJECTED 73% TDs IN THE RED ZONE
BEARS KICKER IS 100% SO FAR THIS YEAR
BEARS
DEFENSE
BEARS RUSH DEF AND DEF LINE ARE 23RD AND 24TH
THE CHICAGO PASS DEFENSE IS 4TH.

SCENARIOS
 CASE FOR JETS
 THEY COULD CONTROL THE BALL ON THE GROUND AND TIME OF POSS. 
THIS WOULD KEEP THE BEARS PASS OFFENSE OFF THE FIELD
LACK OF BEARS RUN GAME COULD ALLOW THEM TO SACK CUTLER
CASE FOR BEARS
WITH DECKER QUESTIONABLE FOR JETS - GENO SMITH IS A BIG ? MARK
HIS AVG IS 1 TD AND 1 INT PER GAME. BEARS PASS DEF 4TH. 
CUTLER AVG 3 TDs PER GAME
MARSHALL, JEFFERY AND FORTE ARE FOR REAL.
BEARS WILL SCORE IN THE RED ZONE.
 CASE FOR THE UNDER
IF THE JETS DO SUSTAIN A RUN GAME - THAT COULD SLOW SCORING
 CAUTION - UNDER IS SOMEWHAT ACTOR AT 44.5 
2 WEEKS IS NOT MUCH TO GO ON
 CASE FOR THE OVER
IF FORTE CAN GET THE BEARS TO THE RED ZONE
THEY WILL SCORE AND COULD GO OVER. 

CONCLUSION
(IF YOU CAN CALL IT THAT)
LOL - NOW THAT YOU'RE TOTALLY CONFUSED:
SO AM I
I TOOK THE BEARS AND THE UNDER
JUST BECAUSE I COULD GET MONEYLINE ON THE BEARS
40 TO WIN 160 WITH THE UNDER
HOPING JETS RUSH OFFENSE AND RUSH DEFENSE SLOW IT DOWN.
GOOD KICKERS TONIGHT - HOPE THEY USE THEM.
HOPING BEARS PASS GAME COVERS
NOT CALLING THIS GAME
 OFF

LET'S HOPE ITS A LOW SCORING FIELD GOAL FESTIVAL
WITH A COOL MARSHALL TD HIGHLIGHT




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