Wednesday, September 17, 2014

NFL WEEK 3 THURSDAY NIGHT MATCHUP 2014


____________POSTGAME____________
I suggested just the UNDER. Should have only posted that.
I'll only call one side on Monday - If that's all I feel strong about. 
1 Teamer we double our Money.
McCown had a much better supporting cast in Chicago.
McCown and Glennon are good. Team isn't
 Lotta dropped balls, Missed Opportunities, Turnovers got ridiculous.
TB Injuries did come into play.
The Match Up did show that Mismatch ATL PO vs TB PD.
But the Projected Scoring liked TB 
Scoring needs a few more weeks of Data to start working. 
I'll factor that this weekend.
 Lotta Games Left.
Good Luck!

_____________________________________________________________________

THURSDAY MATCHUP LIVE NOW (BELOW)
  I WILL POST A 2 TEAM THURSDAY NIGHT PICK BY NOON THURSDAY EACH WEEK.
ALL OTHER GAMES POSTED BY SATURDAY 12 NOON 
POSSIBLY SOONER - I WILL UPDATE YOU.
I am not Parlaying the Thursday or Monday games with any other Tickets.
This way, Thursday can't kill a Weekend Ticket.
This also allows for a Last Chance Monday Night  2 Teamer.

GOOD LUCK THIS WEEK!

Follow me on Twitter
https://twitter.com/RickOnTheStrip


_____________PREGAME______________

MY PICK
TB +6.5 (OVER 46)
SORRY TYPO ATL EARLIER
THIS GAME DIDN'T QUALIFY AS A SYSTEM PICK 
MATCHUP WAS EVEN (0) 
TO QUALIFY A TEAM MUST WIN MATCHUP BY 30 OR -30 FOR A DOG
"AND" COVER BY 4 OR MORE / DOG -4 OR LESS
VIEW MATCHUP AT LINK BELOW
http://www.happycapper.com/2014WK3THU.htmL
NO SIGN IN NEEDED
CLICK ON TEAM TO VIEW DEPTH CHART AND INJURIES 
CLICK ON PLAYERS FOR STATS
VIEW BOX SCORES OF RECENT OPPONENTS PLAYED. 

SYSTEM "LIKES" TB  / UNDER
BUT POINT PROJECTIONS ARE TOUGH AFTER ONLY 2 WEEKS
SYSTEM DOES NOT FACTOR INJURIES
CAUTION
I WOULDN'T BET THE FARM ON TB
TB DEFENSE IS BEAT UP  
I THINK OVER IS THE SAFEST OF THE 2 CALLS
HOWEVER, BOTH DEFENSES ARE HORRIBLE = OVER
TB DID PLAY 2 TOUGH DEFENSES - ATL IS DEFENSE IS WEAK
I THINK MCCOWN IS UNDERRATED AND RAINEY IS PLAYING WELL. 
ATL HAS BEEN PRONE TO PENALTIES. TB HAS NOT
HOPEFULLY TB BACK UPS WON'T CHANGE THAT? 
THE BIG ? MARK HERE IS WHETHER THE BACK UPS CAN STEP UP FOR TB.
TB INJURIES
ON DEFENSE: LDT MCCOY (OUT) RDE JOHNSON (?) MLB FOSTER (OUT)
ON OFFENSE: DOUG MARTIN IS (DOUBT) BUT RAINEY LEADING RUSHER
ATL INJURIES
RODDY WHITE (?) BUT EXPECTED TO LAY
I FEEL GOOD ABOUT THE OVER
LITTLE SCARED ON TB - SAFE BET JUST THE (OVER)
I WILL BUY TB +6 AND THE OVER THOUGH
 JUST BECAUSE OF MCCOWN AND RAINEY VS WEAK ATL DEFENSE. 
CAUTION
ATL 5TH PASS OFF VS TB 25TH PASS DEF
SO ATL COULD COVER!

5 comments:

Anonymous said...

Tb look good, this is going to be dogs week, so tb is good team to start with, I ride with you on the over+ tb parlay! you Been great thus far

Rick Jansen said...

Thanks, can't hit em all. Hope we get it tonight. Over is the call I feel good about. Ryan is good and TB Pass Defense is weak. But I do like McCown. This is a big test for him. If he can't throw on a weak ATL defense - I may change my mind. He will get help from a very weak D Line and Rush Defense. Go Tampa! Run it up boys. Go Over!

Rick Jansen said...

Sorry Brother. Calling both sides of any game is a real longshot. I suggested just the OVER, should have only posted that. ATL just covered OVER by themselves. Could have doubled our money. Like you - I wanted McCown to show he can play. Bears just a much better team. Glennon is good too. TB just doesn't have the weapons. Too soon for projected scores. I'll only post one side on Monday if that's all I feel strong about. Thanks for your support. Plenty of games left this week. Good Luck!

Anonymous said...

good call on the over. we didn't hit the parlay, but we might hit it on sunday.

just so you know that there is a new div2 (not even div1) college team our there. and that is tampa bay college. LOL

Rick Jansen said...

LOL. Looked like it last night.

I think it was a perfect storm for ATL. ATL played the game of their lives. TB is far from done for the season. They'll probably go 500.

Over was an obvious call. Lesson learned - even money is better than guessing to make it a 2 team parlay.

Yeah, were just getting started this week. Good Luck!