Thursday, September 25, 2014

NFL PICKS WEEK 4 THURSDAY NIGHT 2014

_______POSTGAME______

What Went Wrong
As I suspected WAS is no where near Top 10 in Pass Def.
I predicted Manning would be Pressured, get Sacked, and Throw Picks. 
 Just the Opposite was True. 
Cousins was Pressured, got Sacked and Threw Picks. 
What Went Wrong? 
One Word "Gruden".
The Rookie Coach Made Rookie Mistakes.
The Redskins looked like they were in Prevent Defense all Night.
They did Not Blitz Eli.
The Corners were playing 10 yards off the Receivers All Night.
Result? 
Eli had all the time in the world and Ate Them Up with Short Passes.
Long Drives by NYG put Cousins in Bad Field Position All Night. 
Eli and the Giants had Great Field Position on every Drive
When Eli is Under Pressure and Behind - He Cracks every time.
He Wasn't, Cousins was. 

Cousins is a Good QB. 
He threw off his back foot and tried to force plays. 
Good Pocket Passers need a Pocket. 
But he had Pass Rushers in his Face all Night.
He was in the Hole and tried to get out.
Good Defense provides Mulligans for QBs.
Eli got a bunch - Cousins got none. 
Manning didn't need any vs that Defensive Scheme.
Thursday and Monday Night is fun.
But Sometimes you bet Games you would Pass on if they were on Sunday.  
I was Real Close to Posting (OFF) Tonight
But the Matchup was Good for WAS.
No Apologies
 If Gruden Blitzed Manning and Jammed the Receivers off the Line-
Opposite Result.
You learn a lot more when you have money on a game - You Watch.
$40 loss - Cheap Education I Guess.
Cost me an 0-2 Start though. 
Hope it Didn't cost you guys too much. 

Lotta Games Left
I'm not Gonna change a thing - lets hope no more Coaches Blindside us.

The only Good News - My Little Sister had Giants MLine and the Over for $10
Now I gotta listen her all week.

At Least I get to Post a Winning Ticket
Congrats Rhonda! 
(We all Hate you - LOL)


 _______PREGAME______
 
CAUTION!
THIS IS NOT MY PICK OF THE WEEK.
 SO DON'T BET THE FARM
JUST GOOD ENOUGH TO INCLUDE AS A PICK 
@WAS -3 vs NYG 

MY PICK 
WAS -3
PREDICTING SKINS 24-17
UNDER 46 

SOLID ON WAS
MANNING JUST HAS WAY MORE SACKS AND PICKS
KERRIGAN HAD 4 FOR WAS LAST WEEK VS HOU.
COUSINS AVG ONLY 1 SACK AND LESS THAN 1  INTS PER GAME
SKINS AVG 3 SACKS PER GAME.
MANNING AVG 2 INTS PER GAME AND 2.5 SACKS

SKETCHY ON OVER UNDER? 
UNDER IS BASED ON 2 TOP 10 PASS DEF
AND 2 GOOD RED ZONE DEFENSES
IT MAY BE TOO SOON BUT I ROUNDED THE PROJECTED TOTAL
WAS 24-15
AND GAVE IT A SHOT THIS WEEK
 WAS 24-17
WE'LL SEE?

MY CONCERN IS THAT TURNOVERS AND 3 AND OUTS BY ELI-
 COULD WEAR OUT THE NYG DEFENSE AND LET SKINS RUN IT UP. 
WAS RED ZONE OFF WAS 67% LAST WEEK
ALSO, THE ONLY GOOD DEFENSIVE GAME FOR WAS VS JAC.
PHI SCORED 37 ON THE SKINS LAST WEEK
THE GIANTS ARE NOT THE EAGLES - 
BUT NOT SURE EITHER PASS DEF IS TOP 10.

IF YOU'RE HAPPY WITH EVEN MONEY - JUST TAKE WAS -3
I'M ONLY THROWING $40 ON IT
IF IT WAS $400 I'D JUST TAKE WAS-3

BTW - GREAT WEEK LAST WEEK
BUT THERE IS NO SUCH THING AS SURE THING
SO PLEASE DON'T MORTGAGE THE HOUSE ON ANY OF MY PICKS
 GOOD LUCK TONIGHT!


x

3 comments:

Unknown said...

Loved Washington. Now I love it even more!

Anonymous said...

I love was. but kind a like the over

Rick Jansen said...

Follow your gut - could go either way. safe bet just WAS - no sure thing as always tho.