BETTING STRATEGY AFC NFC CHAMPIONSHIPS

TICKET #1 
$100 to pay $625
(Early Line Pick Posted 1/4)
SF-3
OVER (48.5) - SF v ATL
NE-9.5

TICKET #2
$100 to pay $625 
ATL+4
NE -9
OVER (51.5) NE vs BAL Caution see weather below

TICKET #3
$40 to pay $480
ATL+4
BAL+9
OVER (48.5) - SF v ATL
UNDER (51.5) NE vs BAL


TOTAL BET: $240
POTENTIAL WIN $625
NET: $385 

TICKET #1 

(SF-3)
I grabbed the early line on the SF Game (-3). Still like that ticket at SF (-4).
A weak ATL Rush Def vs Kap and Gore and bad Offline vs Aldon Smith (19,5 Sacks) and a pocket passer in Ryan should allow (SF to win by 7).

(NE -9.5)
BAL 27TH Def Line and 22nd Rush Def should open up run for Ridley and in turn the Pass Game for Brady. Let's not assume that BAL is suddenly a dependable Play Off team. BAL was destroyed by DEN 34-17 in week 15 at Home. 50 / 50 they stink it up and get routed. The team may be as sick of the Ray Lewis' gangster preaching as we are after 3 weeks. 

SF vs ATL (OVER 48.5)
I like the over in the Dome - Niner's vs Falcon's.Got it at (48.5) but still like it at (49).

TICKET #2

(ATL +4)
Truth is these game lines could easily go either way. Kaepernick is Cocky and lofts the ball vs 9th ranked ATL Pass Def with 20 INTs and a +13 T/O Ratio.

(NE -9) 1/17 - Weather Update 30 / wind chill 20  Wind 20 mph! That was my original forecast - saw an update on TV and changed it. never listen to NFL Channel for weather. Dummies!
As confident as I feel about NE winning easily - Hard to count on Belicheck to cover 10. The raw Points Data predicts to a final score of around 28-21 / 28-23. If BAL has one good game left NE could only win by (7). HOWEVER, With the forecast change from 30 to a balmy 45 in NE - I like the Ravens even less. I just do not see NE Blinking and the game could be over by halftime. So, YOU MAKE THE CALL!  I am going to stick with (NE -9) using this ticket to just cover a potential 49er loss. 

NE vs BAL (OVER 51.5) Caution see weather above
I was going to take BAL and the UNDER but again do not see NE Blinking. Thought about adding the OVER SF vs ATL to this ticket - but that could kill both tickets bun the end of the first game. So, Gonna go with NE running it up 35-17 (52)  System calls the game at (55). Watch the line and grab it quick at it is moving up currently at (51.5)

TICKET #3


Just a cover ticket. In case games come within a FG. Added Over in SF/ATL and chaged to an UNDER in the BAL - because if they do cover that means they slowed down The Pats Offense. 
See the blogs below for more in dept info on this weeks games.