SYSTEM PICKS AFC NFC PLAY OFFS

SYSTEM

To Qualify as a System Pick a team must:
1. Win the Overall Match Up Rating by 60 + or as Dog by -35 or more (R)
2. Win the Offensive Line Match Up (OL)
  3. Preferably win the Filed Position Match Up (FP) 
4. Be Projected to cover the Spread (By).

FG								FG
%		BY	Line	R	OL	FP		%	BOOK	PRO	DIF
69%	San Fran	0	-3.5	8	23	9	At Atlanta	87%	48.5	50	1.5
83%	At NE	8	-9.5	94	2	5	Baltimore	91%	51	57	6.0

VIEW OUR FULL HEAD TO HEAD MATCH UPS
http://www.happycapper.com/NFC-AFC-MUPS.html

SF VS ATL

(SF) won the OL Off Line by a whopping (23) and FP F-pos by (9). But did not qualify in the Overall Rank Match Up winning by only (8).

(Projected Score) 25-25 SF by (0).

ATL lost the match up and did not qualify as a dog.
As a line pick - based strictly on totals ATL +3.5 not bad pick. 

OVER / UNDER

Weather: Dome (Good for Over)
Projected Total 25-25 = (50) Book Total (48.5)  Over 
SF has a horrible FG kicker so could go 24-21 – (45) Under

System: OFF: Pick   OFF: Ovr / Und

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NE VS BAL

(NE) Clearly dominated the Match Up. Out Ranking BAL by (94). But did not cover the spread - winning by (8). Line -9.5

*The projected score shows NE by (11) – NE 34 - BAL 23.

But the system averages that by the Avg “net win by” = (8)

(Projected Score) NE 34 - BAL 23

(Projected Win By ) NE by 8*

OVER / UNDER

WARNING: Weather 30 Degrees Wind 20-23 mph (Bad for OVER)
Only weakness NE is an improved (19^th) Pas Def vs (15^th) Pass Off BAL = push. NE (21^st) in Def F-pos vs  BAL (18^th) in Off  F-pos = push.

NE Avg PF 35 BAL PA 22 = NE 28

BAL PF 25 NE PA 21 = BAL 23

Projected Total NE 28 – BAL 23 = (51) Book Total (51) OFF!

System: OFF PICK  / OFF OVR / UND

See my Personal Picks (Below)