NFL PICKS WEEK 5 MONDAY NIGHT 2015

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WINNER!
FINAL PIT 24 SD 20
__________________________________________________________________
1st Qtr: OMG Just Shoot me! I I've Tweeted several times hat Todd Haley is a Moron - then I Pick Steelers? I actually forgot - Again - That he calls plays for Steelers. Sorry everyone. Just watched 1st series - 2 trick plays a a low percentage deep Go route on 3rd and 3. Should have been a scoring drive - instead 7-0 SD. SD has a weak Off line and Rush Offense - So yeah - throw Haley!

My Bad! If PIT Loses - they are on MY No Bet List as long as Haley is Offensive Coordinator. 

_______________________________________________________________________
PIT +3.5 @ SD (45.5)

PROJECTED PIT 24 SD 17 (41) 
(BET) PIT +3.5
(OFF) the Over / Under
Note: If I Factor Secondary Injuries on SD I Get:
PROJECTED PIT 27 SD 17 (44) 
(OFF) the Over / Under.  Not Much Wiggle Room (1.5) - Take the Single Bet Even Money.

FULL HEAD TO HEAD MATCH UP 
(Click to Enlarge then View Image to Magnify)

 

CASE FOR PIT
Yes, Ben is Out - But Bryant and Bell both are back now for the Steelers. SD has a Very Weak Off Line and Rush Def  - so Bell should excel and Open up Pass game for Vick and Bryant. Look for Bryant to shake off the Rust by the 2nd half. The SD secondary is hurting which should help their cause.  PIT projected at 63% in Red Zone. PIT should have Decent Field Position - helped by a Lousy Punter for SD avg 43 yds per.  I love the Hook +3 AND A 1/2. 

PIT 2014 

HOME	5-2
AWAY	5-3

Injuries:  

PIT:  
All Starters are Probable. 

Note: PIT does have weak Schedule Strength - But have actually played good teams?

(SS) Schedule Strength (26th)  

New England 28, Pittsburgh 21

Pittsburgh 43, San Francisco 18

Pittsburgh 12, St. Louis 6

Baltimore 23, Pittsburgh 20 (OT)

 
CASE FOR SD
SD Pass Off 8th, but PIT Pass Def is 11th. Allen and Floyd and Gates real threats tho. SD should have Decent Field Position and PIT has a crappy FG kicker 60%. They are Playing at Home in a Night Network Game (+3) and Steelers have a Long Road Trip (-3)*

* Home/Away Factored in Projected Score. 

SD 2014

HOME	5-3
AWAY	4-3

Injuries: 

SD: 
Back up WRs Stevie Johnson (Out). Jacoby Jones (Ques)
3 Players Out or Questionable in Secondary.  

(SS) Schedule Strength (18th) 

San Diego 33, Detroit 28

Cincinnati 24, San Diego 19

Minnesota 31, San Diego 14

San Diego 30, Cleveland 27

NFL PICKS WEEK 5 2015

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__________________________________________________________

HERE IS AN EARLY PARLAY

LOCKED IN THESE LINES

Counts toward Bank and Record

BUF -2.5 @TEN

@GB -9.5 vs STL

ODDS WILLIAM HILL 11:20 AM PDT 10/08/15 

Other Final Picks
NE -9 @DAL 
 ARI -3 @DET
PIT +3.5 @SD
@ATL -7 vs WAS
  
FINAL BANK PICKS 
Note: Adjusted amount of the Parlay to accommodate additional picks. 
(LEFT CLICK THEN RIGHT CLICK VIEW IMAGE - MAGNIFY TO ENLARGE) 

Caution: Last week the only stat against ARI (Loss to STL) was SS - Schedule Strength. STL strong SS. GB, ARI and PIT have weak SS MUPs this week. NE Strong vs weak SS DAL.  I actually subtracted 14 from ARI for SS this week (noted above) and they still covered big. With the exception of BUF, I mainly went by Projected Scores which have been good to us.

Totals: Some game scores may be projected around spreads and not reflect projected totals. If a game is chosen as an over or under (none this week) those totals will reflect actual projected totals for both teams.  

AS PROMISED ALL GAMES HEAD TO HEAD 
(LEFT CLICK THEN RIGHT CLICK VIEW IMAGE - MAGNIFY TO ENLARGE)

I cleaned up the All Games - hope you like. Please bear in mind, If things go well this year - I will have a team of people helping with all this next season. We'll be able to do a lot more, much faster, and cleaner - with a whole new automated site and formats. 

NFL PICKS WEEK 5 THURSDAY NIGHT 2015

@HOU -4 vs IND (41)

Projected: HOU 24 IND 17 (41)

(OFF)

I remember an episode of Seinfeld in which Jerry and George pitch their pilot to NBC. 

The Network head asks why anyone would watch a show about nothing. 

George replies; "Because its on TV". 

NBC Executive: "Not yet".

The Colts defense is beat up. I want to see Foster redeem himself and Mallett save his job as QB of the Texans. Bet HOU and the Over and live happily ever after. But - with Cecil Shorts and Nate Washington out - Mallett may have no one to throw to. The colts may just focus on stopping Foster and ruin his comeback for the second game in a row. 

I like Hasselbeck over Luck but he was sacked 3 times vs JAC. He may be on his back half the game - thanks to Watt and Cushing. So I can't even recommend the Over! We have it at (41) same as book.

Gore can Run on HOU. If he buys time for Hasselbeck - he can score on weak Texans Red Zone Defense. We have it 24-17 HOU. But HOU could win by 3 giving 4 and the book laughs all the way to the bank. Off!

Not gonna bet tonight - just because it's on TV. 

TONIGHT'S HEAD TO HEAD MATCHUP
(CLICK TO ENLARGE)

Note - Almost went with HOU as Hopkins is a top scorer - just concerned they might Double up on him and Foster? Not sure who else would step up with Shorts and Washington out at WR. TE Graham has 3 Rec for 22 yd and 1 TD in 4 games. 

Jeez! Just heard - Hasselbeck bacterial infection not even listed on Injury report

NFL PICKS WEEK 4 RECAP

Here's how our Season started last year. 
Week 1  2-1
Week 2  6-4
Week 3  7-1
3 Winning Parlays 

ALL SQUARE 
I''m not excited about 10-10 50% so far this season - but not disappointed or discouraged either. The average Pro that charges averages 45%. We've made money 2 of the 4 weeks, hit a 3 team parlay, and our $1000 bank is only down $44. I wont settle for that though. I demand 60% or better of myself in order to expand this next year. 

Were good though. We're like a boxer feeling out the opponent in the first round - as more stats pour in each week - increasing our advantage. We've kept them out of the end zone and are down by a FG near the end of the first quarter. Lotta season left. We're about to land some punches and score.

Week 4 Results

What We Learned this Week

Lesson 1 - Pick of the Week?
One thing I was reminded of this week - do not put it all on one "Sure Thing" game. 
I would have bet the farm on the Bills this week. I almost increased the bet amount on just that game. Then I remembered - don't put all your eggs in one basket. Not even sure what team showed up and lost to the hapless Giants - but glad I bet all the system picks to even out our week. And yes, I'm still a Bills fan (starting this yr). That rude awakening Sunday will either send them to the Cellar or the Playoffs. I predict the later.

Lesson 2 - Schedule Strength
Too early in the year to count on it - but it is real - Look at ARI (32nd in Schedule Strength) Favored by 7 - lost to the Rams at Home in Arizona. That was the only stat against them in that game. Not enough to kill a system pick - but worth keeping an eye on.

Lesson 3 - Feed the System
There are games I look at and just stay away from. I am going to put them all through the system starting this week. Minus games played overseas or games in which major injuries can not be accessed prior to the game.
Lesson 4 - Be Patient and Trust the System. 
We've averaged 70% vs the NFL spread for 4 years because of the System we have used for 4 plus years. I'm going to let it take its losses - rather than 2nd guessing it, and we will come out ahead in the end, like every other year.  At 50% this year - we've made money half the time - imagine what the bank will look like once we start hitting! "On to Week 5!

NFL PICKS WEEK 4 MONDAY NIGHT

@SEA -9.5 vs DET (43)
Projected SEA 26 DET 20

Lynch expected to miss this one for SEA. Lack of offense on both sides could make this one a real stinker. Neither Offense looks good in the Red Zone. BUT - both teams have Lousy Punters which could provide more scoring ops.  Lions allow 3 TDs per game. Jimmy Graham should find the End Zone a couple times. After a first half dominated by FGs - the defenses may tire and allow a few TDs and Calvin Johnson to break one. 

This one could just as easily be a low scoring blowout 17-0 SEA. that's why we are (OFF) this game. 

MATCH UP
(CLICK TO ENLARGE)

NFL PICKS WEEK 4 2015

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Updates:

BAL 23 PIT 20 (WIN)  
Pushed on Line Won on the Under (44)

NYG 24 BUF 10 (Loss) 
Bills 17 Penalties for 135 yds. Still had a chance after all that with 2 minutes left - but a penalty killed the drive. So much talent - so little discipline, Who were those guys? In case you were wondering - Rex and the Jets had very few penalties last year (Avg 33yds per game).

GB 17 SF 3 (WIN)
Never even close 

STL 24 ARI 22 (Loss) 
Cards recover 2 fumbles inside Rams 20 - both calls blown by Refs - They get nothin. Threaten later but choke again in Red Zone - FG. Rams score! Garrett breaks free for TD - stops short and downs it. Rams Win!

DEN 23 MIN 20 (WIN) 
Vikings go for it on 4th Down. Peterson breaks free for 50 yds TD!
Vikings Pick Manning - Driving inside DEN 40!FG They Tie it Up!
DEN FG - Looks like MIN will cover the 6.5. Could still win? 
Good effort by Vikings - Teddy Striped - ends drive. Vikings Cover!
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THIS WEEKS PICKS

UPDATED (10-3-15)


PIT +3 UNDER 44
Pushed on Pick,  Won Total Up 90%
 

@BUF - 5.5  vs NYG
No Change - Love the Bills @ Home. Cruz Out NYG. 


2 Additions!
Why have a System if we Don't Use It?
It is not easy for a team to qualify as a system pick. They really have to dominate the Match Up and Cover the Spread. There are times - due to injury - that I will call the system off. It is early in the year and there will be surprises the system cant see - it is not perfect. There are some good reasons to be cautious on the GB and ARI games - But - I'm not going to over-think it - going with all the system picks this week. It has a better record than I do,

GB - 7.5  @SF
This quote changed my mind;  

When asked for thoughts about Aaron Rodgers' five-touchdown game, Kaepernick said, "I haven't watched Green Bay's offensive side."

He will see Rodgers on offense Sunday. This kid is so cocky he never even took the time to learn how to throw a football.  If Kaepernick knew his limitations and was committed to just running - they could cover vs a very weak GB Rush Defense. But I don't think he will - If you do - stay off GB. Look for Clay Mathews to hand this kid his ass. The final deciding factor for me is that SF has the 24th Ranked Pass defense facing Rodgers this week. Run or Not - they should not keep up with GB Pass Game scoring. Going with the system - Packers Roll. 

@ARI -7 vs STL
Sorry - I'm a closet Foles fan. 

But they have failed to score. ARI has had the weakest schedule in the league - BUT - Their Defense has been great for years. This may not be the week to root for the Rams as they face a Hyped up undefeated ARI team at Home  Going with the System. 
Cards Roll

(Click then choose View Image to Magnify)

UPDATE TO THIS POST ABOVE (I left it up to show both sides of this weeks picks)
The system picked 3 teams this week. I pulled off 2 for the reasons listed below in yellow.
I was excited about betting more teams as usual - but upon further review -  I found some Red Flags that were real concerns. I may be walking away from easy money on the Cards and Packers game. You may want to go ahead and bet them. I'm just protecting the Bank and the Record - I hope? I'd rather miss out on a little money than lose it.

OTHER GAMES 
(Click then choose View Image to Magnify)

Min @Den (Above) I just have a hunch they could upset the overrated Broncos - but the stats are not in their favor?


WEEK 3 REPORT CARD
3 Weeks. That's not much when you think about it.  There are half a dozen teams that seem like the real deal. Let's take a closer look::

1 NE 3-0 (Bye)

The Real Deal as far as Quick Release Pass Game (which all teams should adopt). But - Weak Red Zone and Rush Defense - if anyone ever Runs on them and Keeps Brady off the field?

2 GB 3-0

Rodgers is amazing. But the Packers share the same weaknesses as Patriots.  Weak Red Zone and Rush Defense. That could actually come into play this week vs the #1 Rush Offense of SF playing them at Home.  

3 BUF 2-1

Has it all - Great Run and Pass game and Defense. The weakness there is pass Defense. I believe that stat was skewed by playing the Patriots and are much better than 26th at defending the pass. Hoping they prove me right vs NYG this week. 

4 ARI 3-0

No Apparent Weakness. But they have played he weakest schedule of all 32 teams so far. Palmer is a great veteran QB - but older and slower. The #1 Off Line in the league is doing a decent job of protecting him - But - he is taking an avg of 2 sacks per game. 

5 ATL 3-0

Last year they could not stop the Run. Looked like they fixed that until DAL Ran all over them last week. Good Pass game - But - Rush and pass Defense suspect? Their Rush Defense may be tested by the return of Arian Foster this week? 

6 DEN 3-0

In my opinion this is the most Overrated team in the NFL. Great defense - but they have played no one and manning is in decline. Kubiak is a horrible coach. I am amazed they are 3-0. Only epidemic parody providing weak opponents can save Peyton. If they get past MIN they have OAK and CLE next. The Emperors news clothes may be may still be looking good (6-0) until week 8 vs GB.

7 MIN 2-1

I want Teddy to win every week. Not sure the Team is complete enough to do so consistently.
Weak Def Line and Rush Defense and oddly enough Pass Offense. Bridgewater can throw and has great targets like Mike Wallace and Cordell Paterson. I do not think a one denominational offense - centering around Adrian Peterson is the answer.  This weeks game vs Denver will tell us a lot about both teams. If they can get the Pass  Offense going - The defense gets a much needed rest and those stats could improve.

8 DAL 2-1

They have a strong "Team". Cassell could be a much needed game manager for the Cowboys. "IF" they ever play him.  Weedon (Not the Answer) is starting again this week. Romo was an Achilles heel in my opinion. We won't know if they will get it together until Bryant is back (Out this week) . Randle looked good last week - BUT - not sure if the ATL Rush Defense is horrible again this year?

Some of the Undefeated Teams are on our No Bet List from Last Year. 

9 CAR 3-0

Great Defense but you cant count on Rivera or Newton.  
Also, the offenses they have faced avg 27th.

10 CIN 3-0
 
They always have great stats early in the year - until you bet them and Dalton screws you. 
They have played only Weak Defenses so far and have a Weak Red Zone Defense.

WEEK 4 THURSDAY NIGHT RECAP

Pick
PIT +3 Under (44)
Final 
BAL 23 PIT 20 Total (43)

PIT +3  (Push) 
Under (44) (Win)

Bet $34  Won $31  Paid $65
Up 90%
 
In case you're confused - which I was until recently - when 1 leg of a 2 team parlay ties or "pushes" - it becomes a 1 team bet and pays just like a single or straight bet - paying about 90% at -110. 

Bet formula for a single or straight bet is as follows - Bet Amount $34 x 1.9  = $64.60. That factor includes the amount you won. ( .9 ) or 90% $30.60  plus your original bet amount back ( 1 ) or 100% $34. If you're like me and hate math - you'll need a calculator and safety helmet to solve that equation at home.

The bank is now up for the week and the year going into the weekend!

RECAP

Wholly Snykes! 
That game got way too interesting in the end. We called the first half perfectly. Both teams defied the stats though. Great Rush Defenses vs weak Rush Offenses and yet they both ran well. Both teams have great punters - neither punted well - if they had - the Over would have been way out of reach. Early season stats can be misleading. The good news - as you know - most of the time those stats make us look like we have a crystal ball.

He is Who we Thought he was
I had totally forgotten that Todd Haley was the Offensive Coordinator for Steelers. 
You know it borders on insult when they say Tomlin managed Vick. He was the one with the ball that managing that offense pretty well - short passes, good runs, no big mistakes. Bell looks like he's on his way back. But Vick was not the one calling the plays - neither was Tomlin. Todd Haley was - he was run out of KC on a rail for losing and I see no improvement in Pittsburgh.
Steelers straight up gave this one away. Scobee missed 2 by inches - simple odds say he makes 1 of 3 from the 30 in OT and they win. Tomlin "My Bad". Not sure if that was his call or Haley's? Speaking of playing the Odds.....

No Ball No Blue Chips?
Not really - Long Term Winners Play the Odds and Hedge their Bets.

No Brains No Bank Account
PIT was projected to cover by 14  - why not take them Money Line? I almost posted the Steelers Money Line and backed off. Good thing - the bank is up rather than down.  Personally I did go moneyline - so don't fell bad if you did too. I'm following the system "and" the Bank from now on. I tend to be more careful with your money than my own. Not anymore. Playing the Odds from now on Baby! You'll notice I do not even post the moneyline odds anymore. If you ever do place a moneyline - the only smart way is a single bet with just one team moneyline. With parody rampant in the NFL - I'm not even doing that with the banks money.

Overs / Unders
I only used the Projected Score Total to bet the Under on tonights game. As you can see we skated by only 1 point under. There are 3 factors we normally use to determine the Over or Under. The score is just one. 

1. Projected Final Score Total 
2. Projected success of both Pass Offenses
3. Projected Red Zone TDs % of both Offenses

We got lucky using just one.  In the future any Overs or Unders will qualify for all 3.

On to Sunday
We have made some great calls - but we really have not been lucky so far this year. Steelers should have won tonight. So many games have come down to the last play and gone against us. However, we have a winning record and I feel strongly that the best is yet to come. We have averaged 70% vs the NFL Spread over the last 4 years. We do anything close to that this year and that bank will blow up! 

I  Love the Bills at Home. The rest of the games will be up by Saturday. 

Good Luck! 

- Rick Jansen

NFL PICKS WEEK 4 THURSDAY NIGHT

Part of my job this year is to manage money.  Maybe yours, I take that seriously. Thursday Nights are tough - they can make us rush our picks for the week and bet parlays just to make it interesting. I did that Monday. I ignored by own system - We predicted GB by 8 - No Over or Under - even money - easy money.  In my defense - GB did not qualify as a pick.

I am committed to using our system data this week. I have not Capped all the games yet. However, using system data - not a "Fun" or "Gut" pick - I have chosen to bet the Thursday night game. Why? Based on the data PIT should cover by 14 and the UNDER is off by -20. 

It looks like a good investment (NOT A SURE THING!) or the pick of the week by a long shot.  
The Risk - bad Run games could force bad passes and T/Os - threatening the UNDER. If Vick throws them - BAL could win.


But this is a small bet offering a 250% return. If it hits, the parlay portion of our bet strategy is complete for the week and we are in the black before the weekend begins. If not - we start over on Sunday down only $34. Trying to call both sides of a game (Winner and Total) is usually a mistake. However, I like the fact that it is just one game and will not effect any other bets.

I have added the most important Head to Head stats to this weeks Game List 
The rest will be out later this week for All Games. 

Tonight 
PIT +3 w/ UNDER 44

Sunday 
BUF -5.5

Just added 1 Single Bet for Sunday!

(CLICK TO ENLARGE)

 -Rick Jansen

NFL PICKS WEEK 3 MONDAY NIGHT 2015

___________POSTGAME____________

Smart Money Hit! (Below)

Was hoping KC would convert for 2 on the last score - would have called the exact margin of victory. (8)  Got it within 2 tho (10) 38-28.  Anyway, on to week 4!

___________PREGAME____________
 
(OFF) THIS GAME

HERE'S THE FULL MATCH UP!

NFL PICKS RESULTS WEEK 3 2015

Were Back!
Slowly but surely we are positioning ourselves for a great year. Money Management strategies set. Head to Head analytics ready for next week. I only capped 70% of the games this week. Next week 100%. Our only System Pick was ARI.  They blew out SF 41 - 7. So yeah, Our System still works.  

3-3 50% Paid 15% This Week
In spite of epidemic parody - we made money 2 out of the last 3 weeks and are averaging a 58% Return per week. If you have followed us for the last 4 years - you know that this is in spite of having 3 of our worst weeks ever! Good money management, a little luck and great single bet picks that went 3-1 saved us this week.

More Good News!
Like I said, were only down $16 after some of our worst weeks ever. We are sooo due. Each week the stats become more meaningful. I do not think I have ever been more organized or prepared than we are this year.  We survived the early weeks - got a lot of valuable work done and it costs us less than $20. Looking forward to next week and a great season. 8-8 All Square baby! We'll get back to out normal 67% + Winners and its on! Bring It!

WEEK 3 RESULTS

 

NFL PICKS WEEK 3 2015

This week I took the time to implement our normal System Qualifiers.Although "System Picks" are now just called "Bank Picks" - the system of choosing them is still crucial.

I focused on a grid  that helps me pick - rather than a format to post and show stats that most of you do not care about. So, my analytic's are better than ever. 

The problem is - only one team qualified, Arizona. I will continue to work on this.
In the meantime - I have strong feelings on 6 games. Going with my Gut

Go Big or Go Home! Either I get fooled one more week - or we hit some winners.
As I update the system I will be able to cap all the games every week. 

Here are my Final Picks for the Week. 

All Picks Count toward our Record and Bank Total. 

There are Notes on the right for each Game and Projected Scores next to each team.
(CLICK TO ENLARGE)

Note: Projected score shows Panthers wining big. I am going with Saints based on a very weak Schedule so far for CAR, Peyton being a far superior coach to Rivera, Brees being the better QB and the Saints team being up for this game - in an effort to avoid an  0-3 start. Oh yeah.. and I get 8 Points. Its is risky tho - You make the call? 

WEEK 3 THURDAY NIGHT 2015

@NYG -3 vs WAS (44)

I'M OFF THIS GAME

BUT I LIKE 

SKINS MONEY-LINE + THE UNDER

(JUST A SMALL - FUN BET - TO MAKE IT WORTH WATCHING)

This Game does NOT count toward our Bank or Record

HERE'S OUR NEW HEAD TO HEAD FORMAT

HOPE YOU LIKE IT

Note: look to the left of each QB - those are his projected TDs, INTs Saks this game. MATCHUP
(CLICK TO ENLARGE)

RECENT GAMES GIANTS

Dallas 27, NY Giants 26

Atlanta 24, NY Giants 20

RECENT GAMES SKINS

Miami 17, Washington 10

Washington 24, St. Louis 10

NFL PICKS RESULTS WEEK 2

2 Week Recap
For the last 2 weeks I used mostly last years data. With 2 weeks under our belt we can get serious now and do some real head to head match ups. It will still take a few more weeks to accumulate really meaningful stats - but we have enough now to get started and make some intelligent plays.

I don't have to tell you that we made some great picks that were literally decided by the final play of the game. Ravens week 1 lost by a fingertip, Houston Last Week, Mallet was overthrowing receivers by 10 yards and still has a chance on the final play?  KC - 4 trips to the red zone for 3 points and 2 fumbles? The Eagles got us twice - everyone expected a lot more from them. Bradford is like a deer in the headlights. Murray has skills - but if you cant pass you cant run. Looks like they traded the Rams for the wrong QB. Keenum would have won it for them last week.  Come to think of it - Texans could have used him too. Anyway, on to week 3. 

60% - 3 of 5 vs 66% 2 of 3
Although we added a 3 Team Parlay to our bank - it really does not belong in a progressive bank strategy. No pro would ever bet a 3 team parlay, However, the concept of going for 60% - 3 out of 5 vs 66% - 3 straight (single) bets is still a good idea. 
  

One Slight Adjustment
This week we make one final adjustment - the 3 team parlay becomes a 2 team parlay with 3 Single bets.The 2 losses from 3 out of 5 would eat up the bank - but a 2 team parlay with 3 singles does buffer those losses and create opportunity for rebound and higher profits. From here on out we will stick to that strategy.

Here is an Example:

Profiting from Parody
Whichever money management strategy we used - we must go 60% to make it work. If you followed us for the last few years - you know we average better than 60%. I hope to continue that in spite of the epidemic parody that has infected the league. Before the season started I thought about just taking points to combat parody. Of course it is not as sample as that - But - last week only 2 teams giving 6 or more covered. 


Pretenders and Contenders
There are a lot more of the later this year. I'm watching the Eagles beat themselves and turn to the 4 team mosaic on DTV. Ravens tied with Raiders and Dolphins tied with Jags - this after Tampa beat the Saints. I had to ask "Are there any "Pro" games on? 


Good News and Added Features
I've already narrowed the contenders down to about 6 candidates. With the added data after 2 weeks I was able to add some great head to head features to the Matchups - without going crazy or making them hard to read. Those will be out this week. 

Just Win Baby
Now that our bank and strategy is set - that is my only job moving forward. 

The Checkbook Honey
If you followed our picks and bets so far - you only lost $52.  I'm not happy about that - but if you think about the Malay of Mediocrity that we have all endured for 2 weeks - it could have been a lot worse. We are 5 -5 50%. So its a new season this week  All Square baby - lets kick some ass this week. Here's the checkbook after last week.

Avg Weekly Return still at 30%
Avg YTD 5%
Win Loss 50% 

NFL PICKS WEEK 2 2015

Last Week 60% Return 

Bank Up %15

PREGAME
Week 2 Bank Picks
KC-3 (LOSS)

PHI - 5 

PARLAY 

HOU +3 / ATL +2.5 / NYJ +7

Bank and Picks  

(Click to Enlarge)

Pick Previews
 (Left Click / Right Click - View Image / Magnify)

Other Games
 (Left Click / Right Click - View Image / Magnify)

Closing Bank Statement Week 1  

(Click to Enlarge)

NFL PICKS WEEK 2 THURSDAY NIGHT

@KC- 3 vs DEN
Projected KC 24 Den 17
My Gut Tells Me - KC 31 Den 17
It's still very early in the season - Don't bet the farm!


Preview

(DEN) Denver has the better Off and Def Line as of last Yr - this yr ? 

(KC) I believe manning is in Decline. Broncos Ranked near last in Rush and Pass Off week 1.

(KC) Kubiak is a horrible coach. 2-11 when he left HOU.

(KC) Smith has plenty of talented targets this year to compliment RB Charles 
Denver Safeties are banged up 

(KC) Denver Running backs are not impressive and Their starting RB is Ques

(KC) The crowd at Arrowhead will be merciless after a good start in week one.
 
I've Picked KC as our First Straight or Single Bank Pick of the Week. 
All Other Picks will be Posted by Saturday Noon or sooner.
I Posted the current Leanings for those trying to Parlay w/ Tonight's Game.
I have not yet capped those other games.
Only KC counts toward our Record and the Bank 

 



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