Monday, October 12, 2015

NFL PICKS WEEK 5 MONDAY NIGHT 2015

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WINNER!
FINAL PIT 24 SD 20
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1st Qtr: OMG Just Shoot me! I I've Tweeted several times hat Todd Haley is a Moron - then I Pick Steelers? I actually forgot - Again - That he calls plays for Steelers. Sorry everyone. Just watched 1st series - 2 trick plays a a low percentage deep Go route on 3rd and 3. Should have been a scoring drive - instead 7-0 SD. SD has a weak Off line and Rush Offense - So yeah - throw Haley!

My Bad! If PIT Loses - they are on MY No Bet List as long as Haley is Offensive Coordinator. 

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PIT +3.5 @ SD (45.5)

PROJECTED PIT 24 SD 17 (41) 
(BET) PIT +3.5
(OFF) the Over / Under
Note: If I Factor Secondary Injuries on SD I Get:
PROJECTED PIT 27 SD 17 (44) 
(OFF) the Over / Under.  Not Much Wiggle Room (1.5) - Take the Single Bet Even Money.

FULL HEAD TO HEAD MATCH UP 
(Click to Enlarge then View Image to Magnify)
 

CASE FOR PIT
Yes, Ben is Out - But Bryant and Bell both are back now for the Steelers. SD has a Very Weak Off Line and Rush Def  - so Bell should excel and Open up Pass game for Vick and Bryant. Look for Bryant to shake off the Rust by the 2nd half. The SD secondary is hurting which should help their cause.  PIT projected at 63% in Red Zone. PIT should have Decent Field Position - helped by a Lousy Punter for SD avg 43 yds per.  I love the Hook +3 AND A 1/2. 

PIT 2014 

HOME 5-2 
AWAY 5-3 

Injuries:  

PIT:  
All Starters are Probable. 

Note: PIT does have weak Schedule Strength - But have actually played good teams?

(SS) Schedule Strength (26th)  

New England 28, Pittsburgh 21
Pittsburgh 43, San Francisco 18
Pittsburgh 12, St. Louis 6
Baltimore 23, Pittsburgh 20 (OT)
 
CASE FOR SD
SD Pass Off 8th, but PIT Pass Def is 11th. Allen and Floyd and Gates real threats tho. SD should have Decent Field Position and PIT has a crappy FG kicker 60%. They are Playing at Home in a Night Network Game (+3) and Steelers have a Long Road Trip (-3)*

* Home/Away Factored in Projected Score. 

SD 2014


HOME 5-3 
AWAY 4-3 

Injuries: 

SD: 
Back up WRs Stevie Johnson (Out). Jacoby Jones (Ques)
3 Players Out or Questionable in Secondary.  

(SS) Schedule Strength (18th) 

San Diego 33, Detroit 28
Cincinnati 24, San Diego 19
Minnesota 31, San Diego 14
San Diego 30, Cleveland 27

5 comments:

Reid said...

I can not see vick actually winning a game but hope getting 4 points wins it for us. No matter what happens we are up for the week. Thanks


Rick Jansen said...

I forgot Haley was Off Coordinator. They fired his Ass in KC. He has no clue and no idea what to do with Vick. Hell! Even the run plays are taking forever to develop. So Much for any hope of a quick strike offense - thank god the defense did. May need 2 defensive scores to cover? Off Haley and PIT after this.

Rick Jansen said...

You were right Reid - Vick is worthless! cant even throw an out route - open receiver and almost picked 3 yds off on the throw. That wrist throw shit wont play in the NFL.

Rick Jansen said...

On the other hand - BAM! TD Wheaton!

Rick Jansen said...

We got lucky Vick Wins it!