AUSTRALIAN OPEN
BRYSON DECHAMBEAU (40-1) @William Hill
ALFRED DUNHILL
LUCAS BJERREGAARD (20-1) @Westgate
http://golfpicks.blogspot.com/
3-1 75% WEEK 11
Only a Missed extra point kept us for 4-0. After going 4-0 in week 9, I was unable to cap the games in week 10 - result 1-2. That will never happen - once I hire people and start charging. We bounced right back this week. We are trending in the right direction - with about 9 weeks left - including the playoffs - Our playoff record is near perfect.
SHOPPING LINES
I usually just post the line from William Hill for each game. When I was capping the Buffalo game I noticed BUF +7.5 at Stations casino - good thing - most lines were +7 - turned a push into a win. I will post the house each line is from next year too - as part of the service - so you get the best bang for your buck
STRATEGY WORKING
I mentioned last week I was looking for absolute domination or to take points. That worked again this week.
ERROR CORRECTED
We were 1 -1 in week 7. I entered us as 1-4 that week - that has been updated now.
OUR WIN / LOSS RECORD IS IN THE BLACK
My buddy at the sports book reminded me the magic number is 52.8 that you have to achieve in order to make money. We are currently at 52.9.
COMPARE OUR RECORD TO THE PROS
I am not celebrating - we can and will do so much better than this. However, if you look at the records of the best pros in the world this year - we are in the top 5 - a little more than half way through our worst year ever. Keep in mind - they all charge a lot more than $40 a month for unlimited picks- like we will. See for Yourself:
http://www.vegasinsider.com/picks/records/
MONEY MANAGEMENT AND BANK
Kind of nice that we had a year to work out the bugs "before" we start charging. The bank is down a little - however, if we bet 20% of bank each week this year - single straight bets - as originally planned - the bank would also be in the black. That was nothing more than me trying to re-invent the wheel as far as money management. I'm over that now.
PARLAYS AND TEASERS
Parlays are the only reason the bank is down at all. Like I said, we worked out the bugs. Teasers can be great - but you must bet a minimum of 2 legs - so again, these are parlays. For the most part - we need to stick to the pro strategy of single straight bets from here on out.
That doesn't prevent you from using our picks as teasers - which has payed off nicely so far for Reid.
ON TO WEEK 12
Not looking to change anything this week. 3 games on Thursday - lotta work to do early - so look for my picks by about 5pm tonight. Travel safe.
BANK STATEMENT
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