Post
I ended up taking 10 points off for Stanton. -7 plus -3 the system added for projected 3 & outs by SF = -10. Right fully so, kind of. If you watch the game - his completion % was horrific as predicted. But, if you add those 10 points back - the System called the exact final score of ARI. Even being off a little on SF - it called the Side and the Over (43).
Total Posted: 23 -16
System Total: 33 -16
Final Score: 33-21
__________________________
ARI -4 @SF (43)
We are Off Tonight's Game.
ARI
At first I had Cards by 20, But, Stanton Career stats avg 1 TD per game. Adjusted with Palmer out - AZ by 7. But, it all comes down to how well Stanton plays. He will be without his starting TE, usually a safety net for a Back Up QB.
SF
SF is Bad too, near last in Pass Offense and Rush Defense. But, Both teams will Run Well and Niners are at home.
The Spread (-4) Now (-3.5)
is a slippery slope. If Cards Roll, they cover 4 easy. But if Stanton struggles and AZ :Loses or even wins by a FG - that minus 4, or even -3.5 becomes a deadly hook.
The Total (43)
is no Picnic either. AZ is 10th in Pass Offense, but SF top 15 Pass Defense, A Weak SF Rush defense could open up that pass game and take it over.
HEAD TO HEAD
No comments:
Post a Comment