Thursday, October 6, 2016

NFL PICKS WEEK 5 THURSDAY NIGHT

Post
I ended up taking 10 points off for Stanton. -7 plus -3 the system added for projected 3 & outs by SF = -10. Right fully so, kind of. If you watch the game - his completion % was horrific as predictedBut, if you add those 10 points back - the System called the exact final score of ARI.  Even being off a little on SF - it called the Side and the Over (43).

Total Posted: 23 -16

System Total: 33 -16

Final Score: 33-21  
__________________________ 

ARI -4 @SF (43)

We are Off Tonight's Game. 

ARI
At first I had Cards by 20, But, Stanton Career stats avg 1 TD per game. Adjusted with Palmer out - AZ by 7. But, it all comes down to how well Stanton plays. He will be without his starting TE, usually a safety net for a Back Up QB.

SF
SF is Bad too, near last in Pass Offense and Rush Defense. But, Both teams will Run Well and Niners are at home. 

The Spread (-4) Now (-3.5)
is a slippery slope. If Cards Roll, they cover 4 easy. But if Stanton struggles and AZ :Loses or even wins by a FG - that minus 4, or even -3.5 becomes a deadly hook.
 
The Total (43)
 is no Picnic either. AZ is 10th in Pass Offense, but SF top 15 Pass Defense, A Weak SF Rush defense could open up that pass game and take it over.   

HEAD TO HEAD 


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