NFL PICKS WEEK 6 THURSDAY NIGHT

Denver didn't listen. I had SD Money Line! 
Off the Record. With the Over. Sigh...

https://twitter.com/RickOnTheStrip
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Tonight Game is another Box of Chocolates. 

SD Wins Rush Offense Big, but Loses Big on Pass Offense.

DEN Wins Pass Offense Big - But Loses Big on Rush Offense. 

Recipe for DEN Win:
Denver needs to Go Tom Brady tonight. The Pats survived a decade without a decent running back. They did so (and still do) by getting rid of the ball quickly - with 3 Step Drop Passing. DEN should do the same tonight. The Broncos 26th Rush Offense won't Run well vs SD 10th Rush Def, Don't try. Siemian is Vulnerable to Saks anyway. If he hangs in the pocket or wait for plays to develop they risk a loss. On the other hand - SD is 23rd in Pass Defense, short passes will set up Big Scores for 2 premier WRs. Denver also wins the Turnover match up if they don't take saks.

Recipe for SD Win
The Chargers are at Home. IF SD establishes the Run w/ Gordon (6 TDs), It could Open up the Pass Game. Rivers has Targets worth about 200 yds tonight (See Head to Head). But they must Avoid Turnovers and Score TDs in the Red Zone. Two things they have Failed to do very often this season. They are also weak in Red Zone Defense. The Run is there and it is Key! SD 7th Rush Offense vs DEN 22nd Rush Defense. This would Keep a Talented Pass team Off the Field and open up the pass. They also need to get to Siemian when he's on the field. They can - he's projected at 3+ Sacks tonight.  

Head to Head
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