Projected:NYG 20-6 (26)
We bet on Open NYG+5
We have a Horse in the Race Tonight!
Unlike DET and ARI, where my Gut said Dog and the Stats said Favorite - I agree with the system (NYG) on this one. 90% plus of the experts picks DET and ARI. That scared me to begin with. I actually have a ticket for Rams moneyline.
Tonight's Game Lines Up.
Vikings
Statistically, Giants win the match up Outright (See All White Below) and are getting almost 5 points. We got 5 on an early system bet. From a Gut standpoint, Bradford has always been considered a 2nd tier QB. Now he's heralded as the 2nd coming for the Vikings. Maybe he is?
But I'm not sold yet. His Completion rate is only 60%. The Vikings do have a good defense though and that may be the key to Bradford's success. A good defense produces 3 and outs. This gives your QB good field position and Mulligans. More reps and chances to score. However, the offense is near last in Rush and Pass Offense yardage. They are also near last in Red Zone Offense 29%, and Red Zone Defense gives up 71%.
Giants
NYG only score 45% n the red Zone, but allow only 25%. They wont run on MIN, neither team will. Both teams lose that RO vs RD match up big. But NYG is 5th in Pass offense.
By wining the Head to Head outright, they become a Moneyline option tonight at +180.
The Under
Both teams will struggle to run. This will put pressure on the QBs to pass. Giants will pass better. However, 2 good defenses should keep it under. My only fear is that 3 and outs = route and with MIN allowing 71% in the red zone - the score could go up. But with 2 Red Zone Offenses under 50%, and total TDs projected under 5 - I think the under is a pretty safe bet. I have it at (26) 18 under the total. If I'm off by 2 TDs, still under.
HEAD TO HEAD
Spare Cash
We bet in increments of $50. We have $470 in the bank. So, there's $20 spare cash on hand. I'll spend it on a Parlay - NYG Moneyline (+180) and the Under (43) tonight to make $87.
Added Bank Bet
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