Thursday, October 27, 2016

NFL PICKS WEEK 8 THURSDAY

@ TEN -3 vs JAX (43.5)
Projected TEN 24-20 (40)
(We are OFF this Game) 

As you can see, we have the total and Line about the same as the Sportsbook. 

Case for TEN
They win Big on Rush Offense. So, big night for Murray @ Home Network Night Game?
They also win on Turnovers and JAX loses Big on Rush Offense. So, they should get 3 and Outs, But Titans do "not" dominate on Offense so may not capitalize.  If 3& Outs Tires out JAX Defense the Run should open the Pass and they could Route them, They are projected at 80% in the Red Zone. JAX 40%. Jag's also average over 100 yds per game in Penalties, and are on the Road, another advantage for TEN.

Case for JAX
Not much. But, the TEN 2ndary is hurting with and many as 3 starters out. This could open up the pass for Bortles. If so, they could keep it close.

Total
Off the Total. We project it at 3 UNDER the Total. But If I were to bet both Sides tonight - I'd Take TEN to route them at Home and take it OVER.  

HEAD TO HEAD


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