Monday, November 4, 2013

MONDAY NIGHT NFL MATCHUP WEEK 9 2013

GB - 10.5 vs CHI  (50) ML +450

MATCHUP
GB wins the Matchup (47) 
OL (16)
BY (-3.8) 

GB Much better Strength of Sched 13th vs 31st - CHI
GB Dominates OFF LINE / PASS OFF / RUSH OFF
GB Good third Down Conv 46%
CHI Better in Red Zone 65% vs 50% GB
GB Red Zone Def allowing 73% TDs.
GB Twice the Penalty Yards 69 vs 39
CHI T/O Ratio +7 vs GB -2

VIEW MATCHUP: http://www.happycapper.com/W9GB-CHI.html  


GB INJURIES
Jermichael Finley TE (3 TDs)
OUT 
WR JAMES JONES (2 TDs)  
Did practice Sat and looks Prob - Game Time Decision. 
Nick Perry OLB (3 SKS)
DBT
Matthews OLB (3 SKS)
OUT

CHI INJURIES
Cutler QB ( 12 TDS / 7 INT)
OUT 
Jake  McCown QB ( Rank 7th )
To Start
Lance Briggs OLB (64 Tkls 2 Sks)
OUT

OVER / UNDER
So far this week - 3 out of 4 Games with 1 Qualified Over Stat went OVER.
This Game has 4. However. The DIF is -3.2. That did not matter on the previous games.
However, the DIF let's us know if the Over or Under is already factored in the Book Total. Total is High at (50)

VIEW OVER UNDER RESULTS:  http://www.happycapper.com/ResultsWk92013.html

PICK
Not a System Pick. Marshall a force to be reckoned with and McCown has good stats. GB a litte Banged up. If you want a 50/50 chance to make a few bucks:

CHI +10.5 and The OVER













7 comments:

Unknown said...

I am with you on the over and chi
I play chi+over
1hf chi+over
2hf gb+over

I just bet 20 dollars ea parlay. just for fun to watch the game.

thank you for post the early lines. and now you have some work to do, another 5-1 week would be nice
thank you for your hard works

CN

Ps. I do have problem with posting via iphone too. as soon as I hit publish. all the messages disappear

Rick Jansen said...

Testing on my Droid now

Rick Jansen said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Rick Jansen said...

regarding comments disappearing!!!!

Having same problem - not phone related.

I just increase elements allowed - Please try again - DID IT WORK????

Rick Jansen said...

Whole blogger community having same problem. Hope that worked - should double capacity. If that was problem

Rick Jansen said...

(Calvin)

Like your strategy, 1st half dog, 2nd half Fav. With all the 4th Qtr scoring - wonder if 2nd half is usually over?

Not a system over. It was except for DIF. Interested to see if Over is factored at 50. System says factored but didn't matter on 3 out of 4 Overs that lit up Blue on Matchups. Well see.

Took CHI Moneyline and OVER. Greedy - Stupid. LOL. $50 pays $500. Lets Hope!

Rick Jansen said...

Back to back turrnovers, onside kick in 3rd Qtr in tie game. More weird eh guys.