Wednesday, November 27, 2013

THANKSGIVING DAY NFL MATCHUPS WEEK 13 2013



Thursday Review: Brutal!  
Chance to Win $864 -  $60
12 Hours of Football - $0
Calling every Game perfectly on Thanksgiving - Except 1 - By 1 play - By 1 point - Priceless. 
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Update: I have a ticket on the Picks I posted (Below) Last Night.

$60 to Pay $864
DET -7
OAK +8.5
OAK Over (48)
BAL -3

The scary part is I have $800 riding on a Team on the Don't Bet list! Go Ravens!


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Turkey Day is Up!
http://www.happycapper.com/WK13NFLGAMES.html
Rest of Games by Friday Morning
None of Today's Games Qualified and 2 Teams are on our Don't Bet List. 

But I know you Turkey's are gonna be looking for a passing lane between the heads of your relatives to see the TV.  You'll need some action to counteract the Tryptophan.   So here are some Game Notes. 
 
(Win) DET -6.5 Home vs GB
Matt Flynn had 1 TD, 1 INT and 1 Sack in his only game this year. I ran his career stats and came up with the same per game numbers. Interesting - he has played for 6 years and has 3 Game Starts.

Both teams win Pass Off and O Line. But, both Great Red Zone Def. GB bad Red Zone.
So the Over is Dicey
.
Unless Matt Flynn gets hot (Bad Stats) . GB won't keep up with Lions Offense and they cover 7. But DET Weak Sched, Bad FG % and on Don’t Bet list. GB wont punt out of Trouble avg 41, 36% Red Zone Off. 

Halftime Update:  17-10.  Lion's moving the ball at will.  Should be 31-3. Miscues DET.  That's why they are on the Don't bet list. Flynn Sacked... IDK... lost count. Post Game:  Pretty much as predicted Above. Easy Win Lions.

(Win) DAL - 9.5 @ Home vs OAK + 9.5 / (Win) Over 

Book (47) Proj:31- 24 (55)
Both teams Massive injuries on Defense. Thus the Over. OAK 9th Def line 9th, but  Bryant and Austin should score vs OAK 24th Pass Def. 

McGloin will be without 2 top receivers  - but completes passes to 7 different targets last week and Jennings will Run on DAL 29th Rush Def. They have a great Punter to keep cowboys on their side of the 50.  Janikowski is only 68% this year, but the greatest ever, should hit a few in the Dome. 

Halftime Update:  21 - 14  Raiders 9th Def Line playing almost too well for my Over. Shutting down DAL Run Game. McGloin playing well as expected. Romo found the Weak OAK Def - end of Half. Nice Lead Oak - DAL Pass Off should come back in 2nd Half to Cover Over. OAK Run Game and McGloin should keep in within 7. 4th Qtr: McGloin not taking what they give him. Skipping reads and throwing it up for grabs. Rookie move.OAK abandoned Run Game - making it harder to pass.  Post Game: Janikowski Baby! Thanks Sebastian!  Down by 10 - As I predicted  -Janikowsk came though and saved my ass to cover OAK +8.5.

(Lost by 1) BAL - 3 @ Home vs PIT
Book (40.5) Proj: 26 - 12 (38)
PIT Weak Sched. BAL #3 Def Line and 5th Rush Def vs 26th PIT O Line and 28th Rush Off.  Long Day for Ben.  PIT 2 starters Out on Def. Good Under? May be factored at 40.5 

Post Game: Ravens had a chance to put it away 5 times and settled for 5 field goals. One of the most bizarre finishes ever! Came down to 1 play.- 4th and Goal PIT from 1 yard line. Corners get crossed up - easy TD. BAL 22 - 20. BAL (-3) Lost by 1.

12 comments:

Unknown said...

Over hit, great call
Ah, you took det again, great call
Ball look good, how about bal under???

Rick Jansen said...

Thanks. Down by 10 - As I predicted Jankowski came though and save my ass to cover OAK +8.5.

I have a ticket same as what I posted on Blog.

$60 to Pay $864

DET -7
Oak +8.5
Oak Over (48)
Bal -3

The scary part is I have $800 riding on a Team on the Don't Bet list! Go Ravens!

Unknown said...

Pitt can't score, you will finish the ride and be on top of your game, take the 800 pot home
Raven will beat Pitt by 9. Go raven
3 down 1to go, enjoy the game Rick, I am rooting for you

Rick Jansen said...

Thanks Calvin. If you agree I feel more confident. Good Start. 7-0. Flacco's a Bum. But Ben's a bigger Bum. Wanna see him Face down. System liked Ravens. Ravens do have more weapons.

Hope you and yours are having a great Holiday. I'll have the the picks up by Tomorrow morning.

Unknown said...

Look good, 10-0. Pitt can't score
Thank you Rick, our family got together and have a good time, except one of my in-law got mad when det score the safety and he lost the square play for that quarter. But that safety saved my ass on the over (49) to.
Wish you and your family a happy thanksgiving
Go raven.

Rick Jansen said...

Sounds like a fun family get together.

I am a bachelor - no family. I have a roommate who is like my little sister. She's at her moms. I have the house to myself today. Just watching football, cooking up some good homemade food, and hitting plastic golf balls over the roof into the pool. Very Relaxing.

Not comfortable yet with the game @ 13-7 . LOL...I was gonna say I want another Ravens TD, Just watched the run back - suweet! Score baby Score!

Rick Jansen said...

Ravens Red Zone Offense Sucks! Better not let PIT back in it.

Rick Jansen said...

16-7 not good. win by 2 won't do it - BAL - 3

Unknown said...

I am so sorry, that was that close, that td sent the game over (40,5),
Raven red zone dl sucks to.

Rick Jansen said...

Thanks brother. Yeah, they had 3 chances to put the games away. Good lesson - Next time I look at the Matchup - Team Efficiency - Red Zone Offense - BAL 40% - never give points bad Red Zone Offense. Least I learned something.

Gonna eat, watch a good movie, get some some sleep and do the matchups. Maybe some System Pick will hit.

Thanks for rooting. Have a wonderful night.

Rick Jansen said...

I just realized you were saying you had the Under. Sorry for you too bud. We'll get em.

Rick Jansen said...

All Matchups are Live!

Good Luck Everyone!