Monday, December 21, 2015

NFL PICKS WEEK 15 MONDAY

POSTGAME_______________

Half Right
Around 3pm yesterday I posted a pick of Just The Over. That was easy money. Adding the Saints at the last minute went against the match up and was stupid. 

Good Risk Reward
At the same time - it was low risk high reward. Saints were flat as hell thru 3 quarters. They dropped or had like 6 TDs called back. So. we came much closer to calling both sides than the final score reflects. We did not hurt the record 1-1 and only lost $50 looking to win $130. So, not beating my self up too bad. The big mistake here was missing out on a strong Over bet.  Every lesson learned this year is money in the bank next year. Note to Rick - Take the Easy Money.

PREGAME_______________
 
@NO-2.5 vs DET (51.5)
Projected NO 31-28 (OT) (59)
BANK BET 
2 TEAM PARLAY 
NO-2.5 W/ OVER (51.5)

Going out on a limb a little - but not much. This is far from a system pick - but - I like Saints at home and the Over. DET 1-5 on the Road going into the dome with a -9 T/O Ratio. Lions win Pass Off big - but Saints do not lose on Pass Off and it is Brees at home. New Orleans put up 38 vs Carolina. Lions allowed 21 vs Rams. DET projected at 87% in the Red Zone - NO projected at 71% in the Red Zone but Saints better big play potential. 

This is somewhat Risky gut pick - but Saints and the Over would not suprise anyone - so I'll take a shot. 

HEAD TO HEAD


BANK RECEIPT



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