Sunday, December 29, 2013

TOP PICKS WEEK 17 NFL

I will be posting special Stats for each play off team this coming week. 
We cashed 15 winners in the Playoffs last year. I'll post the winning tickets later this week. 

Hope you all had a great Holiday week!

Post Game
Week 17 Total 5-2 71%
Season Total 63-31 67%

(Loss)   1. OVER (52) PHI/DAL @ DOME
(Win)    2. DEN - 10.5 @ OAK.
(Win)    3. GB -3 @ CHI.  
(Loss )  4. PHI -6.5 Over DAL @ DAL 
(Win)    5. OVER (52.5) GB /CHI @CHI 
(Win)    6. NE -7.5 Over BUF @ NE 
(Win)    7. SEA -11 Over STL @ SEA
Sorry I wasn't able to Post Final Injury Report for Seattle Pre-Game 
They Never released the Kearse injury Report and didn't want to steer you wrong. 
The CIN and MIN Picks were Called Off due to Injuries.










PreGame
 TOP PICK
1. OVER (52) PHI/DAL @ DOME
Great Offenses vs Bad Defenses Projected (61) in Dome.
Live:
 Orton lights up PHI Def. Murray Fumble ends Drive.
Foles lights up DAL Def.to DAL 40../ Penalty stalls Drive-FG
Niether Defense stopping Anyone. Each Team Stopping them selves. LOL
3-0 PHI
 Long unproductive Drives by Both Teams
PHI finally takes one to the House
10-0 PHI
DAL Nice Drive stalls. Punt / Hopefully the Defenses will Tire from longs Drives and this game will break open for the Over./ Orton to Williams to PHI 30!
Escobar 7 yd Out. Run after catch TD!
10-7 PHI
Let the Scoring Begin! 
McCoy breaks one for 15 to the 45. / Foles Sacked.  
DAL: Orton To Witten to the 50. Pass nearly scraped the turf. Cowboy Receivers making some nice catches tonight.  
Orton to Witten - thrown slightly behind him. Off the shoulder INT! 
PHI ball at 50. / Long Bomb to Celek at  DAL 15. / To Celek again TD!
17-7 PHI 1:19 2nd
DAL 3 time outs. Time for a DAL Drive  Let's get to 31 /  Orton runs and slide to the DAL 40.  
1:02 2nd\
Pass to Witten 28 yds to the PHI 35! / Orton over the middle to Witten to 25 :44
Hits Cole - Dropped :34 / Orton Depp throws it away 3rd and 10 :29 
Swing to Witten loses a yard. 4th Down. FG
17-10 (That's OK.27 x 2 = 54) Just need Over (53)
3rd QTR: Foles sacked, 3 and Out. DAL starts at own 30. Murray 1st to 50. 
Orton to Wttten  to the PHI 27! Orton Deep in End Zone. Tight Coverage. Incomplete. FG.
17-13 9:00 3rd
Foles Sacked. Fumble! 1st Don DAL on PHI 20. NO Gain 1st 2 plays
3rd and 9. 4th Down. Losers! FG. / Yes, I want DAL to Score for Over. PHI can comeback.
17-16 5:38 3rd (Need 3 TDs) for Over
Foles need to take what they give him and get rid of the ball. Holding it way too long. 
PHI 3 and Out. Stupid! looking for the big play. Up by 1 - No Need! Get a drive going!
Touchdown with Cheese Please. Anyone! Yes I want fries with that! / 3 and Out Again!
Nice Run back off Punt to PHI 45 / McCoy to the DAL 38 / McCoy to the 30.
That's right - if you wanna Pas you gotta Run or they will sack your ass. / Pass to Celek to 7. 
Wow! Handoff to smith., throws to end zone. Incomplete. Really? Trick plays. drive was rolling?  
Pass to Jackson to 1 yd Line - 4th and Goal - Going for it! Time Out DAL. Foles QB Sneak-
Denied. Rookie needs to learn to get low and stick your head up Centers ass. He was way to upright on that attempt. No Score. Dallas Ball.
4th QTR
Dallas drive stalls on PHI 40  No coverersion on 4th
PHI ball. 3rd Down. 1st to DAL 39. Pass to 24, Brown to 20 1st.McCoy to 11 3rd. 1st.
Brown around the outside -TD!
24-16 6:08 4th 
(Still need 14 for Over!) 
Will Orton bring them back or Pull a Romo? These t5reams average close to 70% TDs each in Red Zone and booth defenses allow the same. Not tonight
Wow! Delay of Game. Playclock set wrong! Penalty on Dallas. Never corrected
Penalty Leaves them with a long 3rd and 9. Incomplete (Criminal)
Going for it on 4th.  
Orton to Bryant - TD! Going for 2. No Good!
26-24 PHI 3:50 4th (1 PHI TD covers and goes over 52)
But PHI is ahead -May not go for score - go for it Kelly! (College Coach) 
3rd and 4. Foles rolls, Mccoy falls down. Foles lays down at PHI 39. Nice Punt.
DAL ball at 32. Orton pulls a Romo! Pick on DAL 30! 
But- they won't score will run out clock, Damn!
McCoy to DAL 26.  No time outs left DAL. 
Wow... 25 yards for Cover and Over. Sorry Guys!


PreGame
2. DEN - 10.5 @ OAK.
Manning #1 Pass Off vs 28th Pass Def. Projected DEN 35-14

Live: 
Broncos Routing Raiders 31-0 HT
34-14 DEN FINAL 


PreGame
3. GB -3 @ CHI. 
Cutler playing like Crap. I'll take Rodgers and Cobb. Projected GB 37-30. 
LIve:
Rodgers Killing Over by missing 4 TDs worth of Scoring. He is throwing ball high. Having trouble adjusting to throwing over Lineman. Needs to find throwing lanes. Check Halftime Highlights. Crazy Dead Ball GB TD. 13-7 GB HT
Long Punt Return Hester. Forte TD Run
14-13 CHI 
Starks 41 yd Run to CHI 15.
Rodgers to Cobb TD! 
20-14 GB
Bad part of Having Over is having to root for Cutler (LOL)
67 yd pass to Jeffrey TD CHI!
Spoted at 1 yd line(was a TD) No Challenge
1 Yd Run TD CHI

21-20 GB 
Swng Pass to Forte for 30yds to GB 10! 
Cutler to Marshall- Diving Catch! TD CHI! 
28-20 CHI 
TD GB!
28-27 CHI
GB Ball 6:24 4th
GB: 4th and 1 on GB 41  2:00 4th
Short pass left to Nelson!
1st Down GB 
2 passes dropped 4th down :42 4th
Rodgers to Cobb! TD!
2 pt Fails
33-28 GB! :38 4th
Hester to CHI 40.:31 4th.
Hail Mary Cutler-INT!
33-28 GB FINAL! 
 

PreGame
4. PHI -6.5 Over DAL @ DAL
Orton scares me a little. He will help Very Potent DAL Offense to Score.
But he has had no Live Game Action in a Year. 
Foles on the Other hand is the Top Rated Passer in the League with a Lighting Fast Offense already in 3rd Gear. The Weak DAL Def will make it hard for Orton to keep up. 
Projected 38-28 < Revised with Orton. 
FINAL: 24-22 PHI

PreGame

5. OVER (52.5) GB /CHI @CHI
Great Offenses vs Bad Defenses Projected (62).
Weather: Snow, 24, Wind 19 MPH
Weather hasn't stopped any games from Going Over this year.  
The Wind at 19 MPH does make the PHI game an even Better Over. 
But with Rodgers and Cobb in the Game - just cant see it going Under. 
FINAL: 33-28 (61) 
(See Wining Ticket Above)  

PreGame
 6. NE -7.5 Over BUF @ NE
Lewis will likely Start Over Manuel, No Loss as they both have similar abilities.
Bills have a good Def.But, The 30th Ranked Bills Pass Off with Star WR Stevie Johnson Out - It will will hard for them to keep up with Brady @ Home. 
Projected NE 21-10 
Live:
Pats Def playing well vs 30th Pas Off. But Offense Choking in Red Zone vs BUF Def.
16-3 NE.
BUF: Lewis to Graham TD 
16-10 NE.
Wow! Bount 80 yd Kick Return to BUF 20! 
4th Down KIcking FG
Wait! 5 yd Offsides Penalty
1st and Goal NE! 
Short Pass Vereen TD NE!
2 Pt Coversion pass to Eddelmen!

24-10 NE 
BUF:Jackson TD Run
24-17 NE 
Blount 62yd KIck Return  
NE FG. 27-17 NE 
BUF 4 and OUt
Pats at BUF 40.  
Brady top Vereen, Vereen Bobbles ball- INT!
BUF at NE 40 4:54 4th 
FG BUF!
27-20 NE 
Onside KIck Failed
NE Ball on 50 
TD RUN Blount!
34-20 NE FINAL!
(See Wining Ticket Above)


POTENTIAL UPSETS__2-2 50%_________________


PreGame
ATL Cover +7 vs CAR @ ATL
CAR Red Zone Offense 30% ATL 65% Projected vs.
CAR poor Road Record @ ATL 
Live:
ATL Def Crushing Panthers inept Offense. Falcon s Offense looks Sharp. 10-0 ATL
Wow! Williams 50 yd Run after swing pass from Newton. But - Stripped Atl 1st and 10 on ATL 10. Wow! Ryan throws Out Route Left. Pick 6! 10-7 ATL. 
Panthers Driving on ATL 30.  
Tolbert Dragging Tacklers for 20 Yds to ATL 5!
TD Pass to Guinn! 143-10 CAR. HT
Falcons Driving to 50
40 yd Pass to White TD ATL! 17-14 ATL
Newton time in Pocket. Frozen Rope to Olson. TD! 
21-17 CAR
Ryan sacked twice inside 20 - Punt
ATL 4th and 1 on CAR 25 
First Down! 
3rd and 10 White Drops pass for 1st. 4th.
FG 21-20 CAR  
1 LAST CHANCE.
ATL DRIVING TO 40 YDS LINE 1 MINUTE LEFT. 
OOOH NO! BALL SNAPPED EARLY IN SHOTGUN FORMATION =20 YARD LOSS! 
9 SECONDS LEFT.
GAME OVER 21-20 CAR FINAL

PreGame
 CLE Cover +10 @ PIT
PIT should win. But, The number of TDs, Red Zone Trips and Red Zone TDs PIT allows - could make it difficult for them to cover. May still blow them out. Just would lay much on the cover.
LIve:
Browns Offense not Showing up. 14-0 PIT. HT
Browns Driving. 3rd and 8. 4th and 3 on PIT 33. Incomplete!
FINAL 17-0 PIT 

PreGame
 JAC Cover + 12 @ IND
IND wins Matchup. But Weakness is D LIne and Rush Def. MOre of a Gut Pick. Could see a Young fired up Jags team covering or even upsetting an Up and Down Colts team.
Live:
Horrible Call! JAC NIce Drive-Ground caused Fumble-Drew-Gave it to IND. IND 7-0.
Jag had a streak when Scored 1st Drive. Penalty really took momentum away. 17-3 IND.
Jags Driving to IND 30.  
Pass Tipped. Pick! IND ball JAC 40. 
20-3 IND HT
Long Pass to Hilton. 1st and Goal IND. Pass to WaylanTD!
27-3 IND. (This one looks Over. I'll update if Jags get close.)
30-10 IND FINAL

PreGame
 NYJ Cover + 7 @ MIA
Jets Dominate Off Line and Def Line. But Clown car is -17 T/O Ratio. MIA lots to play for - just saying - may not cover? 
Live:
Clown car hanging in there. But needs some Offense. 7-0 MIA.
Wow, 3rd and 2 Jets from 10. Wide Open TD End Zone. MIA called Time Out Though. No Score Ouch! Wow,Geno runs it - flips in air at Goal Line 1st and Goal. 
5 yd Draw TD Jets! 7-7
Nice Drive. Geno Runs 10 yds for TD. 14-7 NYJ HT 
20-7 NYJ FINAL


GAME UPDATES_____________________________________________

CIN vs BAL
Flacco chokes Twice in Red Zone 6-0. Dalton throws long TD to Green. Flacco on Sidelines - look on Face like kid who brought bad sack lunch to school. Admiring something he doesn't have. 7-6 CIN. Wow! Jones One Handed Catch in End Zone! 17-6 CIN
Will we see Bup QB Tyrod Taylor in 2nd Half for BAL?
Kids way better than Flacco and has Wheels. Not a great game to come into. But would love to see the Kid do well. 
Flacco Chokes again on Drive. FG. 17-9 CIN
Bengals shank Punt only 10 yds. BAL on CIN 40!
4th turnover - nothing but FGs from Flacco - so far?Misses open Jones in End Zone. 
Lewis challenges non Fumble. 2nd Time Out wasted on bad Challenges. Bad move if game gets close.  
TD pass to Brown! BAL going for 2. Flacco throws it away. Retry.
Run by Rice 2 pts. 17-17! 
PI 1st and Goal CIN on BAL1 yd Line.  
Run Green EllisTD CIN. 24-17 CIN 
34-17 CIN FINAL

HOU vs TEN
Texans out to Quick Lead. Bu with Both RBs out. Could use Keenum. Lack of run game wiull probably cause Schaub to cough it up. 7-3 HOU.  FG 7-6 HOU. HT
Run Chris Johnson TD! 13-7 TEN. 
Schaub Fumble on own 30. Titans 1st and 10!
FG 16-10 TEN. 
Schaub chance to win it. Throws Pick on own 40. 
FINAL TEN 16-10
BUT NO COVER BUT NO COVER TEN-7


NYG vs WAS
Nice Catch by Jerignan. 10-6 NYG. HT
Was on NYG 35. Pick!
NYG 20-6 FINAL

MIN vs DET
Stafford Sacked on 3 yd LIne
13-7 DET 
Wow! Sherrells Runs Back Punt 40 yds. 1st and Goal Vikings! 
MIN: Cassell to Paterson TD! 14-13 MIN 
Asiata 40 yd Run to DET 15
FINAL 14-13 MIN

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