Sunday, December 22, 2013

WEEK 16 NFL HANDICAPPING RESULTS 2013

CANT BEAT THE SYSTEM!

No matter how much we learn or how much data we add - The Basic System wins in the long Run. Other than calling off the Browns due to Injury and a Sneaky High Spread in the Titans Game - it called the games almost perfectly - By Itself.  You would think, with all we have learned - we would surpass an Excell program I Built 4 years ago. Not this week, or this year.

I will post the System by Itself, without notes Early next week

System Week 16 5-1 83%
System Season Total 58-29 67% 

http://www.happycapper.com/ResultsWk162013.htm

At 5 -1 if you parlayed any combination of the 6 teams in 3 team parlays - you won!

The new Power Sheet I posted did help us to call a good Under in the STL / TB game. Once again - that call was based on simple System ranks. But, like I said, to avoid confusing the Power ranks with the System - I will post the System early by itself. 

Power Ranks
http://www.happycapper.com/WK16POWER.html
System
http://www.happycapper.com/ResultsWk162013.html

If you are not familiar with the System - Read ny explanation below and then Click on the Link Above.

There are 3 Qualifiers on the Left:

MUP / OL / BY  

(MUP) Overall Statistical Matchup
(OL)  Off line vs Def Line
(BY) Amt Favorite should Cover the Spread By.  

Totals are Based on the Favorites Score in the Matchup. 

If Favorite wins all 3 by a large enough Positive Margin (3 Black) - Pick Fav
If Favorite Loses all 3 by a large enough Negative Margin (3 Brown) - Pick Dog.
That's it - Pretty Simple.


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