NFL PICKS WEEK 6 THURSDAY NIGHT 2015

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POSTGAME 
No Apologies: If you saw the absolute domination the Falcons Offense was capable of in the first half - you can see why the system called it the way it did. ATL defense played great 1st half, Rush Def held up too. They just got worn out. ATL should have scored 28 1st half easy. Saints -5, Falcons +5 Turnover Ratio coming in. ATL 5 fumbles - 3 lost.  The Saints Pass and Red Zone success projected (below) wasn't even the key. If you take away the 5 fumbles - Saints score about 24 - Falcons 35+ - just as projected. Over It. On to the weekend!

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ATL -3.5 @NO (51.5)
PICK ATL -3.5
OFF OVER UNDER 

I kind of feel like one of the suits walking off the cliff in the Apple Lemmings commercial with this pick. Everyone is on the Falcons. If Saints are going to win another game - this is a good opportunity - Home Network Night Game. Payton vs Rookie Coach. However, stats say they wont and that ATL will run rampant on the weak NO defense. I do look for Brees to find the end zone 2 or 3 times - but for the Falcons to do so easily. 

The match up shows ATL Rush Def 9th vs 20th Saints Rush Offense. That will slow down Brees if true. Hope so, and we don't get burned. Falcon were terrible vs run last year. Going with System ATL -3.5. Could be a great game. I'll be happy to win by 4 if it is.  

Caution: The Projected success for Saints Passing and Red Zone Offense (below) maybe a sign to pull off this game. The complete Offensive Domination by ATL in the match up kept me on it. If Saints cover - I will respect that indicator even more in this weekend. 

Match Up
The Numbers reflect the difference in rank for each category.
ATL Run Offense (2nd) was 28 Ranks better than NO Rush Defense (30th) etc. 
The Red Zone % is projected TDs inside 20 vs Opponent.

Official Bank Bet
(Click then View Image to Magnify)