Monday, October 26, 2015

NFL PICKS WEEK 7 MONDAY NIGHT 2015


POST GAME 

FINAL ARI 26 BAL 18 (44)

If you watched - you know Ravens dominated and led first half. Then it looked like Cards were gonna cover. In the end ARI by (8). Original Spread ARI (-8)   The total looked like it would go way under 1st half. 1 more TD in the 4th and it goes over (50) .  

I'm very glad we stayed OFF this game.

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@ARI -10 vs BAL (50) 
OFF 
 
This game has more angles than a protractor. 

Cardinals
Win Pass Match Up and are 69% in the Red Zone

but

Ravens
Projected to Sack Palmer 3 times and only allow 43% in Red Zone

Cardinals
Win the Pass Defense Match Up big
I expect them to pick Flacco twice tonight.
 
but

Ravens
Offensive Line Wins Big and Forsett can Run. 
That Run game could open up the passing game to Steve Smith Sr. 

Originally I gave extra points to Cards for potential 3 and Outs by Ravens as they lose on Pass Offense. Then I Looked at last weeks blog. Cards got a ton of 3 and outs from PIT and did nothing with them. And the Steelers did not win the Offensive Line like the Ravens do in this Match Up. 

I went ahead and gave ARI 3 points for Flacco picks, but gave Ravens 4 with a healthy Steve Smith. That would make it 31-24 , With the Line moving to ARI (-10) Cards would not cover. ARI is "Not" a System Pick. If Cards do get 3 and Outs and Picks from Ravens they should cover. 

As you can see this is good game to pass on tonight. We were already Off but wanted to give you as much info as possible for tonight. 

Fun facts while you're watching:

Cardinals Horrible Punter (Avg 39 yds)

Ravens Great Punter (Avg 49 yds)

HEAD TO HEAD MATCHUP





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